FNUS75 KGJT 221405
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RAY MESA II...BLM - MOAB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
805 AM MDT FRI OCT 22 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE IS CURRENTLY CENTERED ALONG THE UTAH/COLORADO BORDER
AND WILL SLOWLY DRIFT TO THE NORTHEAST TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS A
RESULT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TODAY...TAPERING OFF SOME
TONIGHT. THE NEXT WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY WITH SHOWERS REDEVELOPING BY AFTERNOON. WETTING RAINFALL
AMOUNTS (.10 OR MORE) ARE LIKELY TODAY...DIMINISHING SOMEWHAT
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-75%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-9 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    5-10 MPH AFTER 1500.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 550.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SHOWERS LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......250 DECREASING TO 200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH INCREASING TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 20 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......200 INCREASING TO 850.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-SOUTHWEST 14 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN KEATING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101022.RAYME.01/GJT