FNUS73 KJKL 230920
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR GREEN POND 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
520 AM EDT SAT OCT 23 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2325 EDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WARMER AND CONTINUED VERY DRY TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN DOMINANT THROUGH TONIGHT
BEFORE GETTING NUDGED OFF TO OUR EAST ON SUNDAY BY AN APPROACHING
STORM SYSTEM NOW OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL
ACCOMPANY THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TODAY WITH AFTERNOON HUMIDITY
ONCE AGAIN DROPPING BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS OVER THE FIRE AREA.
AFTER A NIGHT OF POOR RIDGETOP HUMIDITY RECOVERY...NEAR CRITICAL
CONDITIONS ARE ONCE AGAIN POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY AS WINDS INCREASE.
MODELS CONTINUE TO POINT TO A WETTING RAINFALL SUNDAY NIGHT INTO THE
DAY ON MONDAY...ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE ON EXACT AMOUNTS IS STILL LOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE LESS THAN 5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTH 4 TO 9 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....52.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........8      14     21     27     32     40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............42     57     68     75     77     76
RH..............59     40     29     23     22     23
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 5    S 7    S 8    S 9    S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     12     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........46     48     51     53     52     52
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............71     66     61     56     56     54
RH..............29     35     42     51     52     59
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 4    S 3    S 4    S 4    S 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....136.

$$
FORECASTER...EDWARDS
REQUESTED BY...ROBIN ACCIARDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20101022.GREEN.02/JKL