FNUS73 KJKL 230938
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR SUTTON BRANCH...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
538 AM EDT SAT OCT 23 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2326 EDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WARMER AND CONTINUED VERY DRY TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN DOMINANT THROUGH TONIGHT
BEFORE GETTING NUDGED OFF TO OUR EAST ON SUNDAY BY AN APPROACHING
STORM SYSTEM NOW OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL
ACCOMPANY THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TODAY WITH AFTERNOON HUMIDITY
ONCE AGAIN DROPPING BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. AFTER A NIGHT OF POOR
RIDGETOP HUMIDITY RECOVERY...NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ON SUNDAY AS WINDS INCREASE OVER THE FIRE AREA. MODELS CONTINUE TO
POINT TO A WETTING RAINFALL SUNDAY NIGHT INTO THE DAY ON MONDAY...
ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE ON EXACT AMOUNTS IS STILL LOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT UPSLOPE UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....43.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........0      7      15     22     27     34
WEATHER COV.....AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....FROST  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............35     48     62     71     74     73
RH..............79     54     36     24     20     25
20 FT WIND......SE 1   SE 2   S 6    S 8    S 8    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT DOWNSLOPE.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........40     43     48     52     50     48
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............67     61     55     49     48     48
RH..............36     45     56     63     66     67
20 FT WIND......S 2    N 1    NW 1   N 1    N 2    NW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT UPSLOPE BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO 6 TO 14 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....118.

$$
FORECASTER...EDWARDS
REQUESTED BY...ROBIN ACCIARDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20101022.SUTTO.02/JKL