FNUS73 KLSX 221939
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONAWAY...MARK TWAIN NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
239 PM CDT FRI OCT 22 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1425 CDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

MID LEVEL CLOUD DECK OVERSPREADING THE WILDFIRE WITH HIGHEST
TEMPERATURE AND LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY OCCURING THIS HOUR.
WILL SEE A CONTINUED STEADY BUT SLOW INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE OVERNIGHT AS SOUTHERLY WIND CONTINUES AHEAD OF STORM
SYSTEM IN THE PLAINS. APPEARS RAIN WILL STAY WEST OF THE AREA
TONIGHT. CLOUD COVER WILL LIKELY SCATTER OUT ON SATURDAY WITH
BETTER MIXING EXPECTED. SOUTHERLY WIND COULD GUST ABOVE 25 MPH
LATE TOMORROW MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........74 AT REQUEST...MAX 74.
RH..................27 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 25 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WIND AT 10 MPH. GUSTS TO 15 MPH
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....5687 M 2/S.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56.
RH..................MAX 60 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........DECREASING CLOUDS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77.
RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND 10 MPH...GUSTING TO 20 MPH
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTING TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 32 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY GOOD (16120 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...CVKING
REQUESTED BY...TIM BRAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20101022.CONAW.01/LSX