FNUS76 KMFR 230007
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCCLOUD PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
507 PM PDT FRI OCT 22 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1625 PDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A VERY STRONG JET STREAM OVER THE PACIFIC WILL TRANSPORT DEEP
MOISTURE TO THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND. TWO FRONTS
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA...ONE LATE TONIGHT THEN ANOTHER
ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING PERIODS OF MODERATE RAIN TONIGHT
INTO SATURDAY THEN HEAVY RAIN ON SUNDAY.  SOUTH WINDS WILL
INCREASE OVER THE BURN AREA TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY AND
AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER SUNDAY
NIGHT TO NEAR 5000 FEET WITH SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED OVER THE
BURN BEGINNING SUNDAY EVENING. A FEW INCHES OF SNOW
ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT. BEHIND THE FRONT
SNOW SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH  MONDAY MORNING. HOWEVER
CONTINUED LIGHT MONDAY INTO EARLY TUESDAY. THEN EXPECT
A DRYING PATTERN TO BEGIN BY  TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY BRIEF PERIOD OF HIGH BUILDS INTO THE AREA. THIS
MAY BE FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER WET PATTERN LATE NEXT WEEK.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-37.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO
                     5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT. GUSTS TO
                     12 MPH INCREASING TO 15 MPH OVERNIGHT.
20 FOOT WINDS...... SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO
                     10 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT. GUSTS TO
                     25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS TO
                     12 MPH INCREASING TO 15 MPH IN THE
                     AFTERNOON.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS TO
                     25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE
                     AFTERNOON.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-38.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING
                      TO 18 TO 20 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTS TO
                      30 MPH INCREASING TO 40 MPH OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
RAIN. LOWS 37 TO 40. HIGHS 44 TO 47. SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 18 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 30 TO 35 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 14 MPH IN THE
EVENING.
.MONDAY...
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 31 TO 33. HIGHS 39 TO 43. SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO
12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 3 TO 6 MPH
LATE IN THE NIGHT.
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 31 TO 34. HIGHS 42 TO
45. NORTH 3 TO 6 MPH DECREASING TO 1 TO 3 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
.WEDNESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 23 TO 28. HIGHS 45 TO 49. SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH
INCREASING TO 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...STEVE CLARK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101022.MCCLO.01/MFR