FNUS73 KMPX 211358
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHAKOPEE POW WOW BURN...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
858 AM CDT THU OCT 21 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE SLIDING ACROSS THE BURN AREA TODAY...RESULTING
IN MUCH WEAKER NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS TODAY. OVERNIGHT...THIS HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BE SLIDING OFF TO THE EAST...WITH WINDS TURNING OUT OF
THE SOUTH. DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...THE WINDS WILL BE PICKING UP IN
STRENGTH...GETTING UP INTO THE 10 TO 15 KT RANGE WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER
GUSTS. DIRECTIONS WILL BE STARTING OUT FRIDAY MORNING OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST...BE ALMOST DUE SOUTH AROUND NOON...AND WILL BE FINISHING
OFF THE AFTERNOON OUT OF THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST. FINALLY...TEMPERARUTURES
WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL FRIDAY...WITH HIGHS TOPPING OUT NEAR 70...
WHICH WILL ALLOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES TO FALL INTO THE LOWER 30S.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 55.
RH..................MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 9 MPH...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2800-41600) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (31300-75800) LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO FAIR (13700) LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4600 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............37     40     45     52     55     54
RH..............75     61     47     36     34     35
20 FT WIND......NW 4   NW 7   NW 8   NW 8   W 6    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     15     10
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      4      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40.
RH..................MAX 70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (700-3500).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 14 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 69.
RH..................36 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2800-51700) INCREASING TO FAIR TO
                    GOOD (16000-54400) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1200-3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 22
                    TO 28 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTH AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...GRIESINGER
REQUESTED BY...MARTY CASSELLIUS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101022.SHAKO.01/MPX