FNUS76 KSTO 221332
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR MARSHALL MINE CREEPY...USFS, ELDORADO NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
610 AM PDT FRI OCT 22 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE FIRST AND WEAKEST OF A SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS IS MOVING
ACROSS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA THIS MORNING.  MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION
WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE BURN AREA BEFORE IGNITION TIME
BUT WITH SOME LINGERING SPRINKLES/LIGHT RAIN.  A BREAK IN THE
WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE FOLLOWED TONIGHT BY THE NEXT SYSTEM
WHICH IS STRONGER AND WETTER... AND THE PRECIPITATION AND MODERATE
BUT GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE OFF AND ON THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  SNOW
LEVELS WILL LOWER TO NEAR 6700 FEET OVERNIGHT... RISE ABOVE 8000
FEET ON SATURDAY... THEN LOWER TO NEAR 6500 FEET ON MONDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....EAST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    8 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 20
                    MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700-6000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 4000
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS 10 TO 15 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1300-2400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS 10 TO 20 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTH 14 MPH. GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 14 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...
RAIN. LOWS 47 TO 52. HIGHS 60 TO 65. SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS. LOWS 43 TO 48. HIGHS 57 TO 62.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 36 TO 41. HIGHS 52 TO 57. NORTH WINDS 4 TO
8 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 34 TO 42. HIGHS 58 TO 63.


FORECASTER...KJ
REQUESTED BY...AMY REID
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101022.MARSH.01/STO

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