FNUS73 KUNR 222123
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR NEEDLES CLEARCUT RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
323 PM MDT FRI OCT 22 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1525 MDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH CLOUDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS
A WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE POOR
OVERNIGHT AND TOMORROW DUE TO LOW MIXING HEIGHTS. SURFACE WINDS
DURING THAT PERIOD WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHEAST AND AT 4 TO 8 MPH.
RAIN SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY.

.REST OF THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY WITH AN ISOLATED SHOWER POSSIBLE.
TEMPERATURE.........65 AND CONTINUING TO COOL.
RH..................MIN WAS 27 PERCENT. WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......ABOUT 3000 FT AGL THROUGH 500 PM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37.
RH..................MAX 98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT EAST SOUTHEAST WIND BECOMING A LIGHT
                    DOWN SLOPE WIND AFTER 10 PM.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO BELOW 600 FT AGL AFTER 800 PM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 50.
RH..................MIN 65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH BY
                    1100 AM. THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AT
                    4 TO 7 MPH AFTER 200 PM
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......ABOUT 1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 2200 FT AGL BETWEEN NOON AND 300 PM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

$$
FORECASTER...MS
REQUESTED BY...GWEN LIPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101022.NEEDL.01/UNR