FNUS75 KMSO 232256
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR SUMMIT 19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
456 PM MDT SAT OCT 23 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1650 MDT ON OCTOBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE
BURN AREA ON SUNDAY BETWEEN 1800 AND 2100 MDT. THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL OCCUR WITH COLD FRONT PASSAGE AND JUST BEHIND THE FRONT.
A WIND SHIFT FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO WEST SHOULD BE EVIDENT. THE
BEST CHANCE OF A WETTING RAIN WILL BE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. RAIN COULD BEGIN TO MIX WITH SNOW BEHIND THE COLD FRONT
SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...RAIN
                    AFTER NOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT IN THE MORNING...90 PERCENT AFTER NOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8-12 MPH. GUSTS TO NEAR 20 MPH IN THE
                    LATE AFTERNOON.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN IN THE EVENING...RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-16 MPH BECOMING WEST BETWEEN 1800
                    AND 2100 MDT. GUSTS TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE WITH COLD FRONT
                    PASSAGE.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 3-8 MPH IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH AFTER
                    NOON. WIND GUSTS TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...PALLISTER
REQUESTED BY...BRETT PARGMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101023.SUMMI.01/MSO