FNUS73 KJKL 241006
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR FISH TRAP...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
606 AM EDT SUN OCT 24 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0544 EDT ON OCTOBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...NEAR CRITICAL WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY TODAY...
...WETTING RAINS LIKELY TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST TODAY AS A STORM
SYSTEM OVER THE PLAINS INCHES CLOSER. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THESE SYSTEMS WILL TIGHTEN RESULTING IN GUSTY SOUTH WINDS UP TO 25
MPH AT TIMES. THE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL PULL MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO
THE AREA AND THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO REACH CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE PASSES OVER THE AREA. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY
WITH FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS...BUT AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS AROUND
ONE-HALF INCH OF RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE FIRE AREA BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 4 TO 8 MPH...INCREASING TO 8 TO 14 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........40     38     37     38     43     47
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............54     61     69     76     77     75
RH..............64     54     42     33     31     37
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 7    S 12    S 13   S 12   S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.12     15     20     25     25     20
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      4      4      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    EARLY...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 4 TO 9 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH.
POP.................70 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0300...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........55     63     72     79     85     91
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............69     65     63     63     62     62
RH..............49     60     67     69     73     78
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 6    S 6    S 7    S 7    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. DECREASING CLOUDS
                    WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.
POP.................70 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1700...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...EDWARDS
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20101024.FISHT.01/JKL