FNUS74 KMAF 241251
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHISOS SURROGATE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
751 AM CDT SUN OCT 24 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON OCTOBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

.DISCUSSION...
WEST WINDS WILL RISE TO AROUND 10 MPH SUSTAINED THIS AFTERNOON
WITH GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 MPH AT TIMES.  RH/S WILL DROP TO AROUND 20
PERCENT UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.  RECOVERY TONIGHT WILL BE POOR
AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE MID 50S.  WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE
MONDAY AFTERNOON TO 15-19 MPH AND GUSTS TO AT LEAST 25 MPH.  SINCE
FUELS HAVE DRIED AND RH/S WILL DROP TO AROUND 15 PERCENT A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH MAY BE ISSUED FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON...INCLUDING THE
BURN SITE.  RECOVERY WILL BE POOR MONDAY NIGHT AS WINDS DIMINISH
AND TEMPERATURES COOL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-21 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 4-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 14 MPH BECOMING
                    WEST 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH AT
                    TIMES.
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (79800 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      11 AM        3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR       MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE
TEMP............66           69
RH..............33           23
20 FT WIND DIR..W            W
20 FT WIND SPD..6            9
20 FT WIND GUST.12           16
MIX HGT (FT)....2500         5500
TRANS WIND DIR..W            W
TRANS WIND SPD..7            10
HAINES INDEX....4            3

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........34-38 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (100 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM         11 PM        3 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............64           62           59
RH..............29           27           29
20 FT WIND DIR..SW           SE           SE
20 FT WIND SPD..8            6            6
20 FT WIND GUST.14           9            8
MIX HGT (FT)....4000         BLW100       BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..W            W            SW
TRANS WIND SPD..12           7            5
HAINES INDEX....3            4            4

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-18 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTH 4-7 MPH WITH GUSTS 14 MPH
                    BECOMING WEST 15-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (138000 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      7 AM         11 AM        3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............54           67           76
RH..............38           24           16
20 FT WIND DIR..S            SW           SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6             8           17
20 FT WIND GUST.8            16           25
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100       1000         5000
TRANS WIND DIR..SW           SW           W
TRANS WIND SPD..9            5            27
HAINES INDEX....3            4            4

$$

FORECASTER...LYSTER
REQUESTED BY...RICHARD GATEWOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101024.CHISO.01/MAF