FNUS71 KRNK 242347
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR FLAT SPRINGS RIDGE FIRE...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
747 PM EDT SUN OCT 24 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1939 EDT ON OCTOBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

MOISTURE INCREASES THROUGH TONIGHT AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE SLIDES
EAST INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THEN OVER THE REGION MONDAY. THIS
WILL BRING A WETTING RAIN TO MOST OF THE AREA MONDAY...WITH A
QUARTER INCH ANTICIPATED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A
STRONG COLD FRONT ARRIVES MIDWEEK WITH A SECOND ROUND OF SHOWERS.
AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR BY
TUESDAY EVENING ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WHERE GUSTS UP TO
40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. DRIER AND COOLER WEATHER ON GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL LIKELY FOLLOW THE FRONT FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO
                    11 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 5 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO
                    11 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)          7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).............41     44     43     50     57     66
WEATHER COV.........                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TEMP................61     58     57     56     55     54
RH..................52     64     74     80     87     90
20 FT WIND..........S 3    S 6    S 6    S 8    S 7    S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     15     20     20     20
EYE LEVEL WIND......S 2    S 4    S 5    S 6    S 5    S 6
EYE LVL WND GST.....10     15     15     20     20     20
CWR.................0      0      0      10     10     20

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
CWR (0.01 IN).......90 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 6 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 14
                    TO 23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING WEST 24 TO 25 MPH
                    LATE.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............70     77     83     86     87     82
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP................54     56     57     60     62     63
RH..................90     88     85     80     74     72
20 FT WIND..........S 8    S 6    S 6    S 5    SW 6   SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     15     15     15     15     15
EYE LEVEL WIND......S 6    S 5    S 4    S 4    SW 5   SW 5
EYE LVL WND GST.....20     15     15     15     15     15
CWR.................30     50     80     80     80     70

$$
FORECASTER...KOSTURA
REQUESTED BY...WJ COBER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20101024.FLATS.01/RNK