FNUS73 KEAX 251355 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 4...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 855 AM CDT MON OCT 25 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON OCTOBER 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY TODAY IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WHICH WILL PASS THROUGH MISSOURI TONIGHT. WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL RANGE FROM 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM SYSTEM WILL TRIGGER SOME SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. STRONG AND GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT TONIGHT WITH CONSIDERABLY DRIER AIR SURGING INTO MISSOURI. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL OCCUR ON TUESDAY WITH AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALLING TO BETWEEN 30 AND 40 PERCENT. THE LOW HUMIDITIES AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-2500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 26 TO 32 MPH. TIME (CDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........44 50 64 78 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............68 72 73 70 RH..............58 47 43 46 20 FT WIND......S 18 S 18 S 17 S 16 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 25 25 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.70 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 39 TO 44 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 23 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN INCREASING TO NORTHWEST AROUND 45 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........81 84 88 91 85 76 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............68 62 58 57 52 48 RH..............57 73 81 88 83 79 20 FT WIND......S 16 S 14 SW 12 W 12 W 13 W 15 20 FT WIND GUST.25 20 15 15 20 20 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 3 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 18 TO 25 MPH. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600-6900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 36 TO 43 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........69 59 45 34 30 26 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............47 49 55 60 62 62 RH..............74 67 50 41 36 34 20 FT WIND......W 18 W 22 W 24 W 25 W 24 W 22 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 35 35 35 30 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 $$ FORECASTER...CUTTER REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOURNEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101025.UNIT4.01/EAX