FNUS74 KLCH 261918
FWSLCH

SPOT FORECAST FOR GORE STORE ROAD FIRE...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
218 PM CDT TUE OCT 26 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE AT THE FIRE SITE AROUND 7 PM.
NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST ORIENTED FRONT IS NOW BETWEEN JASPER AND
LUFKIN AND MOVING SOUTHEAST. WINDS WILL TAPER OFF AS THE FRONT
APPROACHES...THEN BECOME NORTHWEST.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-4200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900-5700 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 28 TO 36 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 6
                    MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........74  71  68  66  65  62  59  56  53  52  51  48
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............79  81  83  85  86  86  86  84  81  77  74  73
RH..............82  73  64  59  54  51  50  53  60  72  78  80
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   NW  N
EYE LVL WND SPD.12  11  10  10  8   6   5   4   3   2   2   2
EYE LVL WND GST.20  20  20  20  15  15  10  5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.9 5.4 5.6 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.2 4.5 3.5
MIX HGT (KM)....1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.36  32  26  21  16  13  9   7   6   5   3   2
TRANS SPD (M/S).16  14  12  9   7   6   4   3   3   2   1   1
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 2 TO 8 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700-7700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 6 TO 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MARCOTTE
REQUESTED BY...JOHN SETTLOCKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101025.GORES.02/LCH