FNUS75 KRIW 221736
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP CREEK RX...BLM CAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1136 AM MDT FRI OCT 22 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON OCTOBER 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS COLORADO INTO SOUTHEAST
WYOMING/WESTERN NEBRASKA WILL BRING SOME RAIN/OVERNIGHT SNOW SHOWER
ACTIVITY TO THE BURN AREA TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY. A PACIFIC
STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ASHORE EARLY SATURDAY BRINGING SNOW
PRIMARILY TO WESTERN WYOMING SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE BURN
AREA LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SECOND SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE BURN AREA SUNDAY
AND MONDAY.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BERC

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. SCATTERED SNOW
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-37.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-89 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15
                    MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 16 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7100-32400 KNOT-FT).

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-53.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-45 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (18200-41500 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF SNOW.
LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST TO WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BERC
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG SHORT
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101025.SHEEP.01/RIW