FNUS75 KBYZ 261245
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST CREEK PC HFR...BIA, CROW AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
645 AM MDT TUE OCT 26 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON OCTOBER 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM OVER THE DAKOTAS WILL RESULT IN MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES TODAY ACROSS THE BURN SITE. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
CAN BE EXPECTED THIS MORNING WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS DURING
THE AFTERNOON. THE MAIN WEATHER CONCERN TODAY WILL BE STRONG
GUSTY WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST AT 20 TO 35 MPH WITH POSSIBLY SOME
HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
BUT STILL BE IN THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE EARLY WEDNESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGING WILL BEGIN TO BUILD ACROSS THE BURN SITE
THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY BRINGING MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMER
TEMPERATURES. A FEW WEAK DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
OVER THE WEEKEND BRINGING A SLIGHT SHOWER CHANCE WITH NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. A LARGER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS POSSIBLE EARLY
NEXT WEEK BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF WARM TEMPERATURES AND DRY
CONDITIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
CWR.................14 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 25 TO 40 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 25 TO 40 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................18 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-28.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30
                    MPH IN THE EVENING.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 35 TO 45 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 30 TO 45 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 30 TO 45 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...HOOLEY
REQUESTED BY...BRYCE ROGERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101026.LOSTC.01/BYZ