FNUS73 KJKL 261841 FWSJKL SPOT FORECAST FOR BALD ROCK...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 241 PM EDT TUE OCT 26 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1401 EDT ON OCTOBER 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... VERY STRONG WINDS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE CROSSING EAST KENTUCKY THIS AFTERNOON...AS A POWERFUL COLD FRONT RACES THROUGH THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO ALSO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THIS EVENING...TO ADDRESS THE STRONG WINDS. THE RAIN IS RIGHT ON YOUR DOORSTEP AND WILL CONTINUE OFF AND ON THROUGH THE EVENING...HEAVY AT TIMES. BETWEEN 0.50 AND 1.50 INCHES OF RAIN WILL FALL THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING. .THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON... SKY/WEATHER.........WINDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH POP.................100 PERCENT. LAL.................5. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 45 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....246. RAIN................0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........87 95 98 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 80 74 RH..............61 59 59 20 FT WIND......S 22 SW 20 SW 15 20 FT WIND GUST.50 50 35 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH EARLY DIMINISHING TO AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH LATE. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH LATE. POP.................60 PERCENT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2100...THEN 3 UNTIL 2200...THEN 2 UNTIL 0300...THEN 1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. RAIN................0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........100 86 79 71 59 52 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............58 63 60 58 56 55 RH..............82 84 82 80 81 83 20 FT WIND......W 12 SW 7 SW 3 SW 5 SW 3 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.25 10 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 3 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. POP.................10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 13 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....37. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........43 40 35 25 21 19 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............53 59 67 71 73 69 RH..............86 70 51 38 32 35 20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 6 SW 8 SW 10 SW 10 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 20 20 15 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...GREIF REQUESTED BY...ROBIN ACCIARDO TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20101026.BALDR.01/JKL