FNUS75 KGJT 261823
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALMA TAYLOR PILE BURN...USFS ASHLEY NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1223 PM MDT TUE OCT 26 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UNSTABLE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING ISOLATED SHOWERS TO
THE BURN SITE WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BEGIN TO REBUILD
THURSDAY BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND SLOW WARMING. AT THE SAME TIME
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME MORE STABLE AND WINDS ALOFT WILL DECREASE
RESULTING IN A LOWER CLEARING INDEX.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED AFTERNOON SNOW
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 600.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 11 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....10-15 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-7 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......100 DECREASING TO 50 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    7-12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 500 IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS DEETS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101027.ALMAT.01/GJT