FNUS75 KPUB 271216
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR NOLAND GULCH RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
616 AM MDT WED OCT 27 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

DRY WEATHER AND BREEZY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY AS AN UPPER JET
WILL REMAIN OVER THE FORECAST AREA.  WINDS IN THE MIXING LAYER TODAY
WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW SMOKE DISPERSAL TO GET INTO THE GOOD
CATEGORY BEFORE NOON.  ON THURSDAY THE MIXING LAYER WILL BE MORE
SHALLOW AND THE WINDS NOT AS STRONG AS AN UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER THE AREA.  THIS WILL RESULT IN THE SMOKE DISPERSAL NOT
GETTING OUT OF THE POOR CATEGORY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(31 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST 3-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN NORTHWEST 15-25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......62000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....14-19F.
MAX HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 3-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...EVENSON
REQUESTED BY...PAUL MINOW
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101027.NOLAN.02/PUB