FNUS75 KBOU 282249 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FISHCREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 449 PM MDT THU OCT 28 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WILL BE MOVING OVER THE STATE FRIDAY KEEPING AN INVERSION OVER THE BURN AREA INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. THE INVERSION WILL BE AROUND 3000 FEET AGL WITH LIGHT SURFACE WINDS AROUND 10 MPH...THEN IT LOOKS LIKE THE INVERSION MAY BREAK AROUND 1400-1500 WITH TRANSPORT WINDS ALOFT DISPERSING SMOKE QUICKLY. NOT 100% SURE THE INVERSION WILL BREAK HOWEVER. A SHORTWAVE ALOFT WILL APPROACH THE BURN AREA SATURDAY MORNING INCREASING WESTERLY WINDS AND INCREASING LIFT OVER THE AREA. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE AROUND 20 PERCENT FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS WITH GOOD RECOVERIES AT NIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....18. MAX HUMIDITY........84%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WEST 6-7 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....64. MIN HUMIDITY........20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 20-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 4200-5200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. VERY GOOD AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....33. MAX HUMIDITY........62%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....64. MIN HUMIDITY........17%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 5800-6800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FISHCREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/28-16 24 0 56 10 S 8 1 4408 SW 21 84166 G 10/28-17 24 0 54 11 S 7 1 3402 SW 18 57998 F 10/28-18 25 0 49 15 S 7 7 4 1 W25 2396 SW 15 31830 P 10/28-19 25 0 42 21 S 7 1 1651 SW 13 21599 P 10/28-20 25 0 37 28 SW 7 1 907 SW 10 11369 P 10/28-21 25 0 34 34 SW 7 7 5 1 W24 163 SW 8 1139 P 10/28-22 25 0 31 40 W 6 1 145 W 6 816 P 10/28-23 25 0 30 44 N 5 1 126 NW 3 494 P 10/29-00 25 0 28 49 NE 3 3 5 1 W23 108 NW 2 171 P 10/29-01 25 0 26 54 NE 3 1 101 NW 2 202 P 10/29-02 25 0 25 60 N 3 1 94 NW 3 234 P 10/29-03 25 0 24 65 N 3 3 5 1 W26 87 NW 3 265 P 10/29-04 25 0 23 71 NW 3 1 83 NW 5 305 P 10/29-05 25 0 22 76 W 5 1 79 W 5 345 P 10/29-06 9 0 21 82 W 5 5 4 1 W30 75 W 6 385 P 10/29-07 9 0 22 84 W 5 1 112 W 7 709 P 10/29-08 9 0 27 70 W 6 1 149 W 8 1034 P 10/29-09 9 0 36 50 W 6 6 5 1 W31 186 W 8 1359 P 10/29-10 9 0 46 36 W 6 1 1436 W 13 25896 P 10/29-11 9 0 53 28 W 7 1 2686 W 17 50434 F 10/29-12 9 0 57 25 W 7 7 4 1 W32 3937 W 22 74971 G 10/29-13 9 0 60 23 W 7 1 4502 W 23 92029 G 10/29-14 9 0 61 21 W 8 1 5067 W 24 109087 V 10/29-15 9 0 62 20 W 8 13 4 1 W35 5632 W 25 126144 V 10/29-16 9 0 61 20 W 8 1 5177 W 25 114416 V 10/29-17 9 0 59 20 W 8 1 4721 W 25 102687 V 10/29-18 9 0 56 22 W 8 13 4 1 W30 4266 W 24 90959 G 10/29-19 9 0 50 28 W 8 1 3025 W 21 62793 G 10/29-20 9 0 46 34 W 7 1 1784 W 17 34628 P 10/29-21 9 0 44 38 W 7 7 4 1 W25 544 W 14 6462 P 10/29-22 9 0 41 45 W 8 1 446 W 13 5155 P 10/29-23 9 0 40 48 W 8 1 349 W 13 3848 P 10/30-00 9 0 39 52 W 9 15 4 1 W32 252 W 12 2541 P 10/30-01 9 0 38 55 W 9 1 226 W 12 2213 P 10/30-02 9 0 36 57 W 9 1 201 W 10 1884 P 10/30-03 9 0 35 59 W 9 15 3 1 W37 175 W 10 1556 P 10/30-04 9 0 35 60 W 9 1 164 W 10 1422 P 10/30-05 9 0 34 61 W 9 1 152 W 9 1288 P 10/30-06 40 0 33 62 W 9 15 3 1 W36 141 W 9 1154 P 10/30-07 40 0 34 59 W 8 1 334 W 9 2807 P 10/30-08 40 0 37 51 W 7 1 527 W 9 4461 P 10/30-09 40 0 43 38 W 6 6 3 1 W38 719 W 9 6114 P 10/30-10 40 0 50 29 SW 7 1 2313 W 14 40804 F 10/30-11 40 0 55 23 SW 8 1 3906 W 18 75493 G 10/30-12 32 0 58 21 SW 9 15 3 1 W45 5500 W 23 110183 V 10/30-13 32 0 59 19 SW 10 1 5901 W 23 120655 V 10/30-14 32 0 60 18 SW 12 1 6302 SW 24 131127 V 10/30-15 32 0 61 17 SW 13 21 3 1 W52 6703 SW 24 141599 V 10/30-16 32 0 60 17 SW 13 1 6185 SW 24 130980 V 10/30-17 32 0 58 19 SW 12 1 5667 SW 24 120361 V 10/30-18 50 10 54 22 SW 10 16 2 1 SW63 5149 SW 24 109741 V 10/30-19 50 10 48 28 SW 10 1 3524 SW 21 74246 G 10/30-20 50 10 44 34 SW 12 1 1898 SW 17 38751 P 10/30-21 50 10 42 38 SW 12 18 2 1 W73 273 SW 14 3255 P 10/30-22 50 10 40 44 W 12 1 260 SW 15 3329 P 10/30-23 50 10 39 49 W 13 1 246 W 16 3403 P 10/31-00 50 10 37 54 W 13 21 2 1 W60 233 W 17 3477 P 10/31-01 50 10 36 58 W 14 1 247 W 18 3924 P 10/31-02 50 10 35 62 W 15 1 261 W 20 4372 P 10/31-03 50 10 34 66 W 15 24 2 1 W61 276 W 20 4819 P 10/31-04 50 10 34 69 W 14 1 283 W 20 4680 P 10/31-05 50 10 33 71 W 13 1 291 W 18 4540 P 10/31-06 35 1 32 72 W 12 18 4 1 W61 298 W 17 4401 P 10/31-07 35 1 32 69 W 13 1 615 W 21 13106 P 10/31-08 35 1 34 63 W 14 1 931 W 24 21812 P 10/31-09 35 1 38 51 W 14 22 5 1 W59 1248 W 28 30518 P 10/31-10 35 1 43 41 W 13 1 1998 W 25 40896 F 10/31-11 35 1 47 34 W 12 1 2748 W 23 51273 F 10/31-12 35 1 49 30 W 9 15 5 1 W43 3498 W 21 61650 G 10/31-13 35 1 50 28 W 8 1 3946 W 16 53605 F 10/31-14 34 1 50 27 W 7 1 4394 W 13 45560 F 10/31-15 33 1 51 26 W 6 6 4 1 W32 4841 W 9 37515 P 10/31-16 32 1 50 27 NW 5 1 3358 W 7 25383 P 10/31-17 31 1 48 28 NW 3 1 1874 W 5 13251 P 10/31-18 30 1 46 32 NW 3 3 2 1 W28 390 W 3 1119 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101028.FISHC.01/BOU