FNUS73 KEAX 281259
FWSEAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 18...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
759 AM CDT THU OCT 28 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON OCTOBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

FOR TODAY...WINDS WILL SLOWLY BEGIN TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE DAY.
HOWEVER A VERY DRY AIRMASS AND DRY FUELS WILL CONTINUE TO LEAD TO AN
ENHANCED FIRE DANGER THREAT. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL INTO
THE LOWER 20 PERCENT RANGE.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT WITH WARMING
TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY. BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WINDS AND HUMIDITY
LEVELS WILL REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. DRY CONDITIONS LOOK TO
PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND PERHAPS WELL INTO NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 26 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     51     52     52
RH..............37     26     26     27
20 FT WIND......NW 16  NW 15  NW 15  NW 12
20 FT WIND GUST.25     20     20     15
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 2 TO 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........0      0      0      0      6      9
WEATHER COV.....                            PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FROST  FROST
TEMP............46     41     37     35     32     30
RH..............35     45     53     55     70     76
20 FT WIND......NW 7   W 3    SW 1   SE 1   SE 1   SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.       5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 14 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 31 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........11     6      3      0      4      5
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FROST  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............30     37     46     57     64     64
RH..............71     63     48     32     27     29
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 8    S 13   S 16   S 20   S 16
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     25     30     25
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...CUTTER
REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOURNEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101028.UNIT1.01/EAX