FNUS75 KGJT 272037
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TRI STATE PILES...FS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
237 PM MDT WED OCT 27 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AFTER A COLD THURSDAY MORNING UNDER A STRONG
SURFACE-BASED INVERSION...THE DRY WARMING TREND BEGINS. THE BURN
SITE WILL SEE MUCH LOWER DEWPOINTS TODAY ALONG WITH MORE
SEASONABLE AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. BUT THE WARMER AIR ALOFT WILL
RESTRICT VERTICAL MIXING. FRIDAY...TEMPERATURES CLIMB ABOVE
NORMAL...SOUTHWEST TRANSPORT WINDS AND MIXING HEIGHTS INCREASE A
BIT TO REACH FAIR SMOKE DISPERSAL FOR THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX OF 1500 FEET AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (MAX OF 22500 KNOT-FT).


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST 3-8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX OF 2200 FEET AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 19 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR EXCEPT FAIR FROM 1200 TO 1700 HOURS.


$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...FRANK RICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101028.TRIST.01/GJT