FNUS75 KBOU 291558 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CREEK RX 2010...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 954 AM MDT FRI OCT 29 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...MOUNTAIN WAVE CONDITIONS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS MORNING WHICH WILL RESULT IN ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. AS A RESULT...A RED FLAG WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN HOISTED FOR THE AREA THROUGH 6 PM DUE TO THE GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW HUMIDITIES. THIS IS AN UPDATED SPOT FORECAST FROM THE EARLIER FORECAST. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75. MIN HUMIDITY........0-5%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11-17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING THEN 30 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 4000-5000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....41. MAX HUMIDITY........42%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1300...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....74. MIN HUMIDITY........17%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 3400-4400 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 8400-9400 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 6800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. GOOD AFTER 1300. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BEAR CREEK RX 2010. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/29-09 26 0 48 27 W 15 24 4 1 W37 143 W 8 1004 P 10/29-10 26 0 55 22 W 9 1 1521 W 12 21440 P 10/29-11 26 0 63 18 NW 3 1 2898 W 14 41875 F 10/29-12 28 0 69 15 NW 2 2 4 1 W31 4275 W 17 62310 G 10/29-13 28 0 72 14 NW 7 1 4687 W 16 62765 G 10/29-14 28 0 73 13 W 13 1 5099 W 15 63220 G 10/29-15 28 0 74 13 W 17 28 4 1 W32 5511 W 14 63675 G 10/29-16 28 0 72 16 W 15 1 4577 W 14 55417 F 10/29-17 28 0 70 19 W 10 1 3643 W 15 47159 F 10/29-18 30 0 66 17 W 7 7 4 1 W22 2709 W 16 38901 P 10/29-19 30 0 60 6 W 7 1 1985 W 14 27490 P 10/29-20 30 0 56 1 W 8 1 1262 W 13 16080 P 10/29-21 30 0 54 0 W 9 15 4 1 W23 538 W 10 4669 P 10/29-22 30 0 52 1 W 9 1 419 W 10 3631 P 10/29-23 30 0 50 7 W 9 1 300 W 10 2594 P 10/30-00 30 0 49 29 W 9 15 4 1 W26 181 W 10 1556 P 10/30-01 30 0 48 40 W 9 1 171 W 10 1531 P 10/30-02 30 0 46 40 W 10 1 161 W 10 1506 P 10/30-03 30 0 45 36 W 10 16 3 1 W26 151 W 12 1481 P 10/30-04 30 0 44 38 W 9 1 147 W 10 1369 P 10/30-05 30 0 44 40 W 8 1 144 W 10 1257 P 10/30-06 23 0 43 42 W 7 7 3 1 W26 145 W 10 1255 P 10/30-07 23 0 43 42 W 7 1 309 W 12 3411 P 10/30-08 23 0 47 37 W 6 1 473 W 13 5567 P 10/30-09 23 0 54 29 SW 6 6 3 1 W17 637 W 14 7723 P 10/30-10 23 0 61 23 SW 6 1 2796 W 13 23058 P 10/30-11 23 0 66 19 S 5 1 4956 SW 10 38392 P 10/30-12 23 0 70 18 S 5 5 3 1 W25 7115 SW 9 53727 F 10/30-13 30 0 71 17 S 5 1 8076 SW 9 63958 G 10/30-14 30 0 72 17 S 5 1 9037 SW 9 74190 G 10/30-15 30 0 73 17 S 5 5 2 1 W23 9998 SW 9 84421 G 10/30-16 30 0 72 18 SW 5 1 8360 SW 12 76187 G 10/30-17 30 0 70 20 W 6 1 6723 SW 13 67953 G 10/30-18 45 0 66 23 W 7 7 3 1 SW28 5085 SW 14 59719 F 10/30-19 45 0 61 29 W 8 1 3503 SW 13 40884 F 10/30-20 45 0 57 34 W 10 1 1921 W 12 22049 P 10/30-21 45 0 55 37 W 12 18 2 1 W45 338 W 12 3214 P 10/30-22 45 0 53 41 W 12 1 329 W 13 3638 P 10/30-23 45 0 52 44 W 10 1 320 W 15 4062 P 10/31-00 45 0 50 47 W 9 9 2 1 SW18 310 W 16 4487 P 10/31-01 45 0 49 49 W 9 1 438 W 21 8543 P 10/31-02 45 0 48 50 W 9 1 565 W 24 12600 P 10/31-03 45 0 47 51 W 9 9 2 1 W30 692 W 28 16657 P 10/31-04 45 0 46 52 W 9 1 919 W 31 26616 P 10/31-05 45 0 46 52 W 9 1 1146 W 36 36574 P 10/31-06 28 0 45 53 W 9 9 3 1 W35 1372 W 39 46533 F 10/31-07 28 0 45 50 W 9 1 1590 W 33 43890 F 10/31-08 28 0 46 47 W 8 1 1807 NW 28 41247 F 10/31-09 28 0 50 39 W 8 8 3 1 NW30 2024 NW 22 38605 P 10/31-10 28 0 54 33 W 7 1 3095 NW 17 38101 P 10/31-11 28 0 58 29 W 7 1 4165 W 13 37598 P 10/31-12 28 0 59 26 W 6 6 3 1 W25 5235 W 8 37095 P 10/31-13 28 0 61 25 NW 6 1 5351 W 7 32620 P 10/31-14 28 0 61 25 NW 5 1 5467 W 6 28145 P 10/31-15 28 0 62 25 NW 5 5 2 1 W31 5583 W 5 23670 P 10/31-16 28 0 61 26 N 5 1 5293 NW 3 16988 P 10/31-17 28 0 59 27 N 3 1 5004 N 2 10306 P 10/31-18 35 0 57 31 N 3 3 2 1 W24 4714 CALM 3624 P 10/31-19 35 0 53 36 N 3 1 3238 CALM 2533 P 10/31-20 35 0 50 41 NW 3 1 1762 CALM 1443 P 10/31-21 35 0 48 43 NW 3 3 2 1 W21 286 CALM 352 P 10/31-22 35 0 47 46 W 3 1 268 N 2 469 P 10/31-23 35 0 46 48 W 5 1 250 W 2 586 P 11/01-00 35 0 45 50 W 5 5 2 1 W25 232 W 3 703 P 11/01-01 35 0 44 51 W 5 1 235 W 5 961 P 11/01-02 35 0 43 52 W 6 1 238 W 6 1219 P 11/01-03 35 0 43 54 W 6 6 2 1 W22 241 W 7 1476 P 11/01-04 35 0 42 56 W 6 1 307 W 8 2382 P 11/01-05 35 0 42 58 W 7 1 373 W 9 3289 P 11/01-06 37 0 41 61 W 7 7 2 1 NW17 439 NW 12 4195 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...ANTHONY PISCOPO REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101029.BEARC.01/BOU