FNUS75 KBOU 292028 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR DOME FIRE...COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 214 PM MDT FRI OCT 29 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE FIRE AREA TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING THE AREA LATER SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY KEEP THE GUSTY...DRY AND ERRATIC WINDS OVER THE FIRE THROUGH SATURDAY. WINDS WILL FAVOR A WEST TO SOUTHWEST DIRECTION THROUGH SATURDAY BUT WILL OCCASIONALLY SWITCH TO VARIOUS DIRECTIONS AT TIMES THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. HUMIDITY RECOVER TONIGHT WILL BE MINIMAL. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75. MIN HUMIDITY........9-14%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 17-23 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35 MPH. WINDS MAY ALSO RAPIDLY SWITCH AROUND TO VARIOUS DIRECTIONS AT TIMES. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600. GOOD AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48. MAX HUMIDITY........37-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-19 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 30 MPH. WINDS MAY ALSO RAPIDLY SWITCH AROUND TO VARIOUS DIRECTIONS AT TIMES. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 0900...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....69. MIN HUMIDITY........16%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-11 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE MORNING. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ERRATIC AT TIMES BUT SHOULD DECREASE SOME IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 6600-7600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW UNTIL 0600. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR DOME FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/29-14 24 0 72 10 W 23 1 5391 W 31 146806 V 10/29-15 24 0 74 9 W 23 37 4 1 W29 5437 W 31 149367 V 10/29-16 24 0 73 9 W 21 1 4479 W 32 123990 V 10/29-17 24 0 70 9 W 17 1 3521 W 32 98613 G 10/29-18 24 0 67 10 W 14 22 5 1 W23 2563 W 33 73236 G 10/29-19 24 0 61 13 W 13 1 2044 W 32 57697 F 10/29-20 24 0 57 16 W 13 1 1524 W 31 42158 F 10/29-21 18 0 55 18 W 14 22 4 1 SW20 1005 W 30 26619 P 10/29-22 18 0 53 20 W 14 1 810 W 30 21174 P 10/29-23 18 0 51 22 W 15 1 615 W 29 15730 P 10/30-00 25 0 50 23 W 15 24 4 1 W30 420 W 28 10286 P 10/30-01 25 0 49 23 W 16 1 368 W 26 8694 P 10/30-02 25 0 48 24 W 17 1 317 W 25 7102 P 10/30-03 27 0 47 25 W 17 28 4 1 W29 265 W 24 5510 P 10/30-04 27 0 46 29 W 15 1 241 W 22 4582 P 10/30-05 27 0 45 33 W 13 1 217 W 18 3653 P 10/30-06 23 0 44 37 W 10 16 4 1 W25 193 W 16 2725 P 10/30-07 23 0 45 35 W 9 1 360 W 16 5262 P 10/30-08 23 0 47 30 W 8 1 528 W 17 7799 P 10/30-09 37 0 53 23 W 7 7 3 1 SW28 696 W 17 10337 P 10/30-10 37 0 59 20 SW 5 1 2318 W 16 32295 P 10/30-11 37 0 63 18 S 3 1 3941 W 16 54254 F 10/30-12 37 0 66 18 SE 2 2 3 1 SW26 5563 SW 16 76212 G 10/30-13 37 0 67 17 S 2 1 6509 SW 17 99112 G 10/30-14 37 0 68 17 S 3 1 7456 SW 18 122011 V 10/30-15 50 0 68 16 S 3 3 2 1 SW39 8403 SW 20 144911 V 10/30-16 50 0 68 17 SE 2 1 7318 SW 17 114574 V 10/30-17 50 0 66 17 CALM 1 6233 SW 15 84237 G 10/30-18 54 10 63 20 CALM 1 2 1 SW32 5149 SW 12 53900 F 10/30-19 54 10 59 25 N 2 1 3537 SW 12 36772 P 10/30-20 54 10 55 30 W 5 1 1925 SW 10 19643 P 10/30-21 54 10 54 35 W 8 13 3 1 SW45 313 SW 9 2514 P 10/30-22 54 10 51 39 W 9 1 230 SW 13 2400 P 10/30-23 54 10 50 40 W 10 1 226 SW 15 2982 P 10/31-00 54 20 49 42 W 13 21 2 1 SW24 222 SW 18 3563 P 10/31-01 54 20 49 42 W 17 1 603 W 25 18380 P 10/31-02 54 20 48 43 W 23 1 983 W 33 33197 P 10/31-03 54 20 47 44 W 26 43 2 1 W31 1363 W 40 48014 F 10/31-04 54 20 47 44 W 28 1 1480 W 44 57357 F 10/31-05 54 20 46 44 W 28 1 1597 W 47 66701 G 10/31-06 30 0 46 45 W 26 43 4 1 NW30 1713 W 51 76044 G 10/31-07 30 0 46 44 W 26 1 1845 W 46 73459 G 10/31-08 30 0 47 42 W 25 1 1977 W 41 70874 G 10/31-09 30 0 50 37 W 24 39 3 1 NW22 2109 W 37 68288 G 10/31-10 30 0 53 33 W 23 1 2993 W 30 68460 G 10/31-11 30 0 55 30 W 22 1 3876 NW 23 68632 G 10/31-12 30 0 56 29 W 20 31 2 1 NW16 4759 NW 16 68804 G 10/31-13 30 0 57 28 W 17 1 4920 NW 14 55809 F 10/31-14 30 0 57 28 W 15 1 5080 W 10 42814 F 10/31-15 30 0 58 28 W 13 21 2 1 W12 5240 W 7 29819 P 10/31-16 30 0 57 29 W 12 1 5136 W 7 30098 P 10/31-17 30 0 56 30 W 10 1 5032 W 7 30377 P 10/31-18 43 0 54 33 W 9 15 2 1 W14 4928 W 7 30656 P 10/31-19 43 0 51 37 W 9 1 3497 W 9 22892 P 10/31-20 43 0 48 40 W 10 1 2065 W 12 15128 P 10/31-21 43 0 47 41 W 10 16 2 1 SW21 633 W 14 7364 P 10/31-22 43 0 46 42 W 9 1 521 W 13 5769 P 10/31-23 43 0 46 43 W 8 1 408 W 12 4173 P 11/01-00 43 0 45 43 W 8 13 2 1 SW20 296 W 10 2578 P 11/01-01 43 0 44 44 W 9 1 303 W 10 2858 P 11/01-02 43 0 43 46 W 10 1 309 W 12 3139 P 11/01-03 43 0 41 49 W 12 18 2 1 W20 316 W 13 3420 P 11/01-04 43 0 44 46 W 12 1 474 W 13 5599 P 11/01-05 43 0 44 47 W 12 1 633 W 14 7778 P 11/01-06 37 20 42 52 W 10 16 2 1 W17 791 W 15 9957 P 11/01-07 37 20 41 55 W 9 1 1688 W 15 21097 P 11/01-08 37 20 41 55 W 8 1 2585 NW 15 32237 P 11/01-09 37 20 43 51 W 8 13 2 1 NW20 3482 NW 14 43377 F 11/01-10 37 20 45 47 W 8 1 4756 NW 14 54508 F 11/01-11 37 20 47 44 NW 9 1 6030 N 13 65640 G 11/01-12 37 20 48 42 NW 9 15 2 1 N15 7304 N 13 76772 G 11/01-13 37 20 48 43 NW 8 1 7043 N 12 69136 G 11/01-14 37 20 49 42 N 6 1 6782 N 10 61500 G 11/01-15 37 20 50 41 N 5 5 2 1 N22 6522 N 9 53864 F 11/01-16 37 20 50 42 NE 3 1 4921 N 8 37673 P 11/01-17 37 20 49 44 NE 2 1 3321 N 6 21483 P 11/01-18 25 3 47 46 E 2 2 2 1 N30 1721 N 3 5293 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...INCIDENT COMMAND REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20101029.DOMEF.01/BOU