FNUS75 KBOU 291515 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ELEPHANT BUTRESS...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 915 AM MDT FRI OCT 29 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...MOUNTAIN WAVE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH ERRACTIC WIND SPEEDS EXPECTED. SPEEDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED. THESE CONDITION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...THEN DIMINISHING DURING THE DAY. RED FLAG CONTIONS WILL ALSO CONTINUE WITH HUMIDITIES AROUND 15 PERCENT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....66. MIN HUMIDITY........12-18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 16-26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 1800-2800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....42. MAX HUMIDITY........44%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11-19 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1300...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....66. MIN HUMIDITY........22%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-11 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHWEST 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 4400-5400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ELEPHANT BUTRESS. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/29-09 31 0 42 37 SW 21 33 4 1 W25 174 W 18 2822 P 10/29-10 31 0 48 33 SW 18 1 790 W 22 19169 P 10/29-11 31 0 55 28 SW 17 1 1406 W 25 35515 P 10/29-12 33 0 60 24 S 16 25 4 1 W29 2022 W 30 51862 F 10/29-13 33 0 63 21 SW 17 1 2335 W 26 52287 F 10/29-14 33 0 65 19 SW 20 1 2647 W 24 52711 F 10/29-15 33 0 65 18 W 21 33 4 1 W33 2960 W 21 53136 F 10/29-16 33 0 64 18 W 17 1 2414 W 21 43887 F 10/29-17 33 0 63 20 W 14 1 1868 W 22 34637 P 10/29-18 35 0 60 23 W 10 16 4 1 W30 1322 W 22 25388 P 10/29-19 35 0 56 28 W 10 1 995 W 21 18731 P 10/29-20 35 0 52 33 W 13 1 667 W 20 12075 P 10/29-21 35 0 51 36 W 14 22 4 1 W29 340 W 18 5418 P 10/29-22 35 0 49 37 W 14 1 297 W 17 4599 P 10/29-23 35 0 48 37 W 15 1 253 W 17 3780 P 10/30-00 35 0 47 37 W 15 24 4 1 W32 210 W 16 2961 P 10/30-01 35 0 46 37 W 16 1 205 W 17 3015 P 10/30-02 35 0 46 38 W 17 1 201 W 17 3069 P 10/30-03 35 0 45 39 W 17 28 4 1 W32 197 W 18 3122 P 10/30-04 35 0 44 40 W 15 1 192 W 17 2872 P 10/30-05 35 0 44 42 W 13 1 187 W 16 2622 P 10/30-06 24 0 43 44 W 10 16 3 1 W35 170 W 14 2073 P 10/30-07 24 0 44 44 W 9 1 216 W 15 2730 P 10/30-08 24 0 46 40 W 8 1 262 W 15 3388 P 10/30-09 24 0 51 34 W 7 7 3 1 W29 307 W 15 4046 P 10/30-10 24 0 56 28 SW 5 1 1830 W 16 27127 P 10/30-11 24 0 60 25 S 3 1 3353 W 16 50207 F 10/30-12 24 0 63 23 SE 2 2 3 1 W26 4876 SW 17 73288 G 10/30-13 39 0 64 23 S 2 1 5060 SW 17 74070 G 10/30-14 39 0 65 22 S 2 1 5244 SW 16 74853 G 10/30-15 39 0 65 22 S 3 3 3 1 SW32 5428 SW 16 75635 G 10/30-16 39 0 65 23 S 5 1 4830 SW 15 62390 G 10/30-17 39 0 63 25 W 7 1 4232 SW 13 49144 F 10/30-18 54 10 61 27 W 8 13 2 1 SW35 3633 SW 12 35899 P 10/30-19 54 10 57 32 W 9 1 2505 SW 12 24795 P 10/30-20 54 10 54 35 W 10 1 1377 SW 12 13691 P 10/30-21 54 10 53 37 W 12 18 2 1 SW41 249 W 12 2587 P 10/30-22 54 10 51 39 W 12 1 287 W 16 4410 P 10/30-23 54 10 50 40 W 13 1 324 W 21 6232 P 10/31-00 54 10 49 42 W 13 21 2 1 SW17 362 W 25 8055 P 10/31-01 54 10 49 42 W 14 1 579 W 28 14986 P 10/31-02 54 10 48 43 W 15 1 796 W 30 21916 P 10/31-03 54 10 47 44 W 16 25 2 1 SW18 1014 W 32 28847 P 10/31-04 54 10 47 44 W 16 1 1280 W 37 42722 F 10/31-05 54 10 46 44 W 15 1 1547 W 40 56598 F 10/31-06 30 0 46 45 W 15 24 4 1 NW17 1814 W 45 70473 G 10/31-07 30 0 46 44 W 16 1 1820 W 38 59746 F 10/31-08 30 0 47 42 W 18 1 1825 W 31 49019 F 10/31-09 30 0 50 37 W 18 30 3 1 NW18 1831 W 24 38292 P 10/31-10 30 0 53 33 W 16 1 2857 W 20 39038 P 10/31-11 30 0 55 30 W 13 1 3883 W 14 39784 P 10/31-12 30 0 56 29 W 9 9 3 1 W20 4908 W 9 40530 F 10/31-13 30 0 57 28 W 8 1 5004 W 10 43419 F 10/31-14 30 0 57 28 W 7 1 5099 W 10 46307 F 10/31-15 30 0 58 28 W 7 7 3 1 W31 5195 W 10 49196 F 10/31-16 30 0 57 29 NW 7 1 4750 W 10 44220 F 10/31-17 30 0 56 30 NW 7 1 4305 W 10 39244 P 10/31-18 43 0 54 33 NW 7 7 3 1 W24 3860 W 10 34269 P 10/31-19 43 0 51 37 NW 7 1 2809 W 9 24664 P 10/31-20 43 0 48 40 W 6 1 1758 W 9 15060 P 10/31-21 43 0 47 41 W 6 6 2 1 W21 708 W 9 5455 P 10/31-22 43 0 46 42 W 6 1 586 W 9 4450 P 10/31-23 43 0 46 43 W 6 1 465 W 8 3444 P 11/01-00 43 0 45 44 W 6 6 2 1 W24 343 W 8 2438 P 11/01-01 43 0 44 44 W 6 1 390 W 12 3997 P 11/01-02 43 0 44 45 W 7 1 438 W 14 5557 P 11/01-03 43 0 43 46 W 7 7 2 1 W18 486 W 17 7116 P 11/01-04 43 0 43 48 W 7 1 608 W 15 7117 P 11/01-05 43 0 42 50 W 8 1 729 W 12 7118 P 11/01-06 37 0 42 52 W 8 8 2 1 W24 851 NW 9 7119 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...NUMBER 521 REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20101029.ELEPH.01/BOU