FNUS73 KEAX 291324 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 4...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 824 AM CDT FRI OCT 29 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON OCTOBER 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IN NORTHWEST MISSOURI WILL BEGIN TO TIGHTEN LATER THIS MORNING RESULTING IN SUSTAINED WINDS FROM THE SOUTH APPROACHING 20 MPH. MORNING SOUNDINGS FROM AROUND THE REGION SHOW WINDS MAY BE ABLE TO GUST TO 25 TO 30 MPH. DEWPOINTS WILL ALSO DIMINISH AS MIXING OF VERY DRY AIR ALOFT INCREASES RESULTING IN MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE 20 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON. THESE WEATHER CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH DRIED OR NEARLY DRIED FUELS INDICATE BORDERLINE RED FLAG CONDITIONS IN THE AREA WHICH WILL MAKE ANY SPREAD OF FIRE DIFFICULT TO CONTROL. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 21 TO 29 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........8 6 5 5 4 3 2 2 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............49 55 59 63 65 66 65 61 RH..............42 35 32 28 26 25 27 30 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..13 15 17 18 18 18 16 14 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 25 30 30 25 20 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41. MAX HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........1 2 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............57 53 51 50 49 47 46 45 45 44 43 42 RH..............36 41 45 46 49 51 54 55 57 60 62 64 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..12 10 9 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 7 7 7 4 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............41 42 46 52 56 60 63 66 67 68 67 63 RH..............66 67 60 52 46 42 39 35 34 33 35 40 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W NW NW N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...BOWMAN REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOURNEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101029.UNIT4.01/EAX