FNUS75 KGJT 282039
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALMA TAYLOR PILE BURN...USFS ASHLEY NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
239 PM MDT THU OCT 28 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...UNDER BROAD HIGH PRESSURE...THE WARMING TREND
CONTINUES. WARMER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL INCREASE
VERTICAL MIXING SOMEWHAT. ALSO THE TRANSPORT WINDS WILL INCREASE
AS LOW PRESSURE DIGS DOWN THE WEST COAST. SATURDAY...THE PACIFIC
LOW WORKS INTO THE GREAT BASIN. ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
NEAR SUNSET. THE STRONG GRADIENT WINDS AHEAD OF AND INSTABILITY
SHOWERS ALONG THE FRONT WILL PRODUCE EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSAL.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 1-4 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE. AFTER 1200...SOUTHWEST WINDS 2-6 MPH
                    WITH ISOLATED GUSTS TO .
CLEARING INDEX......250 INCREASING TO 680 IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    PERIOD OF 500 OR BETTER...1300-1700 HOURS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN RISING TO 3000
                    FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 MPH.

.FRIDAY NIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 1-4 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......200 OR LESS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 23 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%).
                    SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO 15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......300 INCREASING TO 1000+ BY NOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. HIGHER IN AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
                    STORMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 27 MPH...INCREASING TO 32 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS DEETS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101029.ALMAT.01/GJT