FNUS73 KUNR 291557
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR AMERICAN ELK RX...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
957 AM MDT FRI OCT 29 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0950 MDT ON OCTOBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY WITH
GUSTY WINDS AHEAD OF IT. WINDS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE BEHIND THE
FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE OVER THE AREA WILL BREAK DOWN SATURDAY...LEADING TO CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...THIN CIRRUS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH...GUSTS TO 30 MPH...
                    DECREASING TO WEST 8 TO 14 MPH LATE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR...THIN CIRRUS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...THICKENING CIRRUS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST INCREASING TO 8 TO 16 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

$$
FORECASTER...EH
REQUESTED BY...AAREN NELLEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101029.AMERI.01/UNR