FNUS75 KGJT 010222
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RAY MESA II...BLM - MOAB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
822 PM MDT SUN OCT 31 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON NOVEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DRY AND STABLE PATTERN WILL DEVELOP ON MONDAY THEN CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WORK WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN
PART OF THE NATION. WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL EFFECTIVELY CAP
DAYTIME MIXING. LOW MIXING HEIGHTS IN COMBINATION WITH A LIGHT
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL RESULT IN POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL ON MONDAY AND
ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 430 IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......LESS THAN 100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 6 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-5 MPH BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 2-6 MPH AFTER NOON.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 210.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN KEATING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101101.RAYME.01/GJT