FNUS76 KLOX 010313
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REYES PEAK...LOS PADRES NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
815 PM PDT SUN OCT 31 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PDT ON NOVEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA MONDAY THEN LINGER THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS HIGH
WILL BRING DRY AND INCREASINGLY WARM CONDITIONS TO THE PRESCRIBED
BURN AREA...ALONG WITH GUSTY EAST WINDS FROM LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL BE WEAKER ON MONDAY AND LATER TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HUMIDITIES ARE FORECAST TO DROP TO NEAR 20
PERCENT ON MONDAY...THEN LOWER SIGNIFICANTLY TO CRITICALLY LOW
LEVELS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THERE WILL BE POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY
MONDAY NIGHT AND LIKELY TUESDAY NIGHT AS WELL.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST 4-8 MPH IN THE MORNING THEN VARIABLE
                    2-5 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........EAST 5-10 MPH IN THE MORNING THEN VARIABLE
                    2-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3500 GT AGL BY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST TO NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........24-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........VARIABLE 2-5 MPH EARLY THEN BECOMING EAST 10-15
                    MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO NEAR 1000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10-15 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST 4-8 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........EAST 10-15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE MORNING...DIMINISHING TO 4-8 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL BY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10-15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST TO SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........EAST TO SOUTHEAST 6-12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL BY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6-12 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...SIRARD
REQUESTED BY...MIKE STRAWHUN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101101.REYES.01/LOX