FNUS75 KBOU 311655 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ELEVEN MILE SP...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1042 AM MDT SUN OCT 31 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ALOFT OVER THE BURN AREA ON TUESDAY WITH A DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE...AND A RESULTING MODERATE NORHTERLY FLOW ALOFT. DUE TO STRONG MID LEVEL INVERSIONS...SMOKE DISPERSION WILL REMAIN POOR ON TUESDAY MORNING...WITH SMALL WINDOW POSSIBLE OF FAIR DISPERSION ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON. INCLUDED MONDAY FORECAST TO SHOW TRENDS INTO TUESDAY. PLEASE SEE THE TABLE AT THE BOTTOM FOR MORE SPECIFIC INFORMATION ON TUESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....51. MIN HUMIDITY........30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6-7 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 6600-7600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 60. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ELEVEN MILE SP. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/31-10 34 0 41 47 W 8 1 2851 W 18 49026 F 10/31-11 34 0 47 35 W 8 1 4644 W 20 81338 G 10/31-12 28 0 52 27 W 7 7 2 1 W47 6436 W 21 113650 V 10/31-13 28 0 55 24 W 7 1 7583 W 20 123585 V 10/31-14 28 0 56 22 W 6 1 8730 W 18 133520 V 10/31-15 28 0 56 22 W 6 6 2 1 W38 9877 W 17 143455 V 10/31-16 28 0 55 22 W 5 1 9007 W 14 115842 V 10/31-17 28 0 53 24 W 5 1 8137 W 12 88230 G 10/31-18 71 10 49 28 W 5 5 2 1 W31 7267 W 9 60618 G 10/31-19 71 10 45 33 W 3 1 4970 W 8 40970 F 10/31-20 71 10 41 41 W 3 1 2672 W 7 21322 P 10/31-21 77 10 37 50 W 3 3 2 1 W31 375 W 5 1675 P 10/31-22 77 10 34 57 W 3 1 346 W 6 1652 P 10/31-23 77 10 33 63 W 3 1 317 W 6 1629 P 11/01-00 71 20 31 68 W 5 5 2 1 W30 287 W 7 1607 P 11/01-01 71 20 30 72 W 5 1 283 W 7 1668 P 11/01-02 71 20 29 76 W 6 1 278 NW 7 1729 P 11/01-03 71 20 29 78 W 7 7 2 1 W24 273 NW 8 1790 P 11/01-04 71 20 28 77 NW 6 1 279 NW 7 1765 P 11/01-05 71 20 27 75 NW 5 1 285 NW 7 1740 P 11/01-06 73 40 27 72 N 5 5 2 1 W23 291 NW 7 1716 P 11/01-07 73 40 28 68 N 5 1 310 N 7 1905 P 11/01-08 73 40 30 64 N 6 1 329 N 7 2095 P 11/01-09 73 40 30 65 N 7 7 2 1 NW17 349 N 8 2284 P 11/01-10 73 40 34 53 NE 5 1 2219 N 7 13023 P 11/01-11 73 40 39 44 NE 2 1 4146 N 7 24452 P 11/01-12 58 15 42 39 CALM 0 2 1 N18 6073 N 7 35880 P 11/01-13 58 15 46 34 CALM 1 6623 N 7 43286 F 11/01-14 58 15 46 33 CALM 1 7173 N 8 50691 F 11/01-15 58 10 48 31 CALM 1 2 1 N30 7723 N 9 58096 F 11/01-16 58 10 49 30 CALM 1 7249 NW 8 48988 F 11/01-17 58 10 48 32 E 2 1 6774 NW 7 39881 P 11/01-18 9 0 43 38 E 2 2 2 1 N41 6299 NW 6 30773 P 11/01-19 9 0 39 46 NE 2 1 4409 NW 5 21158 P 11/01-20 9 0 37 51 NW 3 1 2518 NW 5 11543 P 11/01-21 9 0 34 57 W 3 3 2 1 N44 628 NW 3 1927 P 11/01-22 9 0 32 63 W 3 1 612 NW 5 2185 P 11/01-23 9 0 31 70 W 5 1 596 W 5 2443 P 11/02-00 9 0 30 74 W 5 5 4 1 N47 580 W 6 2700 P 11/02-01 9 0 28 81 W 5 1 476 W 6 2269 P 11/02-02 9 0 27 84 W 6 1 371 W 6 1837 P 11/02-03 9 0 26 85 W 6 6 3 1 N47 266 W 6 1406 P 11/02-04 9 0 25 87 W 6 1 240 W 7 1311 P 11/02-05 9 0 25 85 W 7 1 214 W 7 1216 P 11/02-06 11 0 24 83 W 7 7 3 1 N47 187 W 7 1121 P 11/02-07 11 0 25 80 W 7 1 229 NW 7 1253 P 11/02-08 11 0 29 66 NW 7 1 270 NW 6 1385 P 11/02-09 11 0 36 49 NW 6 6 2 1 N44 312 NW 6 1518 P 11/02-10 11 0 43 36 NW 5 1 1875 NW 8 19392 P 11/02-11 11 0 49 28 NW 3 1 3438 N 10 37266 P 11/02-12 11 0 53 25 NW 3 3 2 1 N40 5001 N 13 55140 F 11/02-13 11 0 55 23 N 3 1 5391 N 13 59549 F 11/02-14 11 0 56 22 N 5 1 5781 N 13 63958 G 11/02-15 11 0 57 21 N 5 5 2 1 N40 6170 N 13 68368 G 11/02-16 11 0 56 23 N 5 1 5284 N 10 50594 F 11/02-17 11 0 54 25 N 6 1 4397 N 8 32820 P 11/02-18 21 0 50 29 N 6 6 2 1 N40 3510 N 5 15046 P 11/02-19 21 0 44 37 N 6 1 2421 N 5 10410 P 11/02-20 21 0 40 44 N 6 1 1331 N 6 5774 P 11/02-21 21 0 38 50 N 6 6 2 1 N38 242 N 6 1137 P 11/02-22 21 0 36 56 N 6 1 226 N 5 1009 P 11/02-23 21 0 35 61 N 5 1 210 N 5 881 P 11/03-00 5 0 34 66 NW 5 5 2 1 N36 193 N 5 753 P 11/03-01 5 0 33 69 NW 5 1 179 NW 5 705 P 11/03-02 5 0 32 72 NW 5 1 165 NW 5 656 P 11/03-03 5 0 31 75 NW 5 5 2 1 N35 151 NW 5 608 P 11/03-04 5 0 30 77 NW 5 1 144 NW 5 540 P 11/03-05 5 0 29 79 NW 3 1 138 NW 3 473 P 11/03-06 6 0 28 82 NW 3 3 2 1 N35 131 NW 3 405 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...LARRY LONG REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101102.ELEVE.01/BOU