FNUS75 KBOU 021457 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GRIZZLY PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 855 AM MDT TUE NOV 2 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. THE AIRMASS WILL BE DRY AND STABLE...WITH A MODERATE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER THE REGION. STRONG MIDDLE LEVEL WARMING TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL RESULT IN STRENGTHENING INVERSIONS WHICH WILL KEEP SMOKE DISPERSAL POOR THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....45. MIN HUMIDITY........42%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-7 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST 5-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 2000-3000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....24. MAX HUMIDITY........80-85%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 0-4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....48. MIN HUMIDITY........43-45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 2600-3600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GRIZZLY PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/02-08 34 0 25 77 W 2 1 249 W 3 680 P 11/02-09 34 0 31 65 W 2 2 2 1 N49 296 W 3 747 P 11/02-10 34 0 38 54 W 2 1 982 W 3 3723 P 11/02-11 34 0 43 47 W 2 1 1669 NW 5 6700 P 11/02-12 10 0 45 44 W 3 3 2 1 N46 2356 NW 5 9676 P 11/02-13 10 0 47 42 W 5 1 2703 NW 5 12097 P 11/02-14 10 0 48 42 W 6 1 3051 NW 6 14518 P 11/02-15 10 0 49 42 W 7 7 2 1 N49 3399 NW 6 16939 P 11/02-16 10 0 48 44 W 7 1 2564 NW 5 12224 P 11/02-17 10 0 46 47 W 6 1 1729 W 5 7508 P 11/02-18 22 0 42 53 W 5 5 2 1 N53 894 W 3 2792 P 11/02-19 22 0 38 63 W 3 1 650 W 3 1962 P 11/02-20 22 0 34 71 NW 3 1 405 NW 2 1133 P 11/02-21 22 0 33 73 NW 2 2 2 1 N52 161 NW 2 303 P 11/02-22 22 0 39 56 NW 2 1 207 NW 2 332 P 11/02-23 22 0 37 57 N 2 1 254 CALM 361 P 11/03-00 5 0 37 57 N 2 2 2 1 N51 301 CALM 389 P 11/03-01 5 0 36 56 N 2 1 288 NW 2 463 P 11/03-02 5 0 36 54 N 2 1 274 N 2 537 P 11/03-03 5 0 35 53 N 2 2 2 1 N46 261 N 2 611 P 11/03-04 5 0 35 52 N 2 1 249 N 2 576 P 11/03-05 5 0 35 52 N 3 1 237 N 2 542 P 11/03-06 5 0 34 55 N 3 3 2 1 N48 230 N 3 657 P 11/03-07 5 0 32 65 NE 3 1 251 NE 3 627 P 11/03-08 5 0 32 73 E 2 1 272 NE 2 596 P 11/03-09 5 0 34 73 E 2 2 2 1 N44 293 E 2 566 P 11/03-10 5 0 38 67 E 2 1 1468 NE 3 5709 P 11/03-11 5 0 44 56 E 2 1 2642 NE 3 10853 P 11/03-12 18 0 46 54 SE 2 2 3 1 N33 3817 N 5 15997 P 11/03-13 18 0 49 49 S 2 1 4026 N 5 14188 P 11/03-14 18 0 50 47 CALM 1 4235 N 3 12380 P 11/03-15 18 0 50 46 CALM 1 4 1 NW28 4443 N 2 10572 P 11/03-16 18 0 50 46 CALM 1 3183 N 2 7478 P 11/03-17 18 0 46 50 NW 2 1 1922 N 2 4384 P 11/03-18 8 0 43 56 N 2 2 5 1 NW30 661 N 2 1290 P 11/03-19 8 0 38 68 N 2 1 514 N 2 946 P 11/03-20 8 0 39 67 NW 2 1 366 CALM 603 P 11/03-21 8 0 37 72 W 2 2 5 1 NW33 219 CALM 259 P 11/03-22 8 0 37 73 CALM 1 209 CALM 285 P 11/03-23 8 0 35 79 CALM 1 199 SW 2 310 P 11/04-00 8 0 35 81 CALM 1 4 1 NW32 190 SW 2 336 P 11/04-01 8 0 34 83 CALM 1 186 SW 2 347 P 11/04-02 8 0 34 82 CALM 1 182 SW 2 358 P 11/04-03 8 0 33 82 CALM 1 4 1 NW31 178 SW 2 369 P 11/04-04 8 0 33 81 CALM 1 173 SW 2 389 P 11/04-05 8 0 33 80 SW 2 1 168 W 2 408 P 11/04-06 18 0 32 84 SW 2 2 3 1 NW36 163 W 3 427 P 11/04-07 18 0 30 89 SW 2 1 171 W 3 464 P 11/04-08 18 0 30 91 SW 3 1 179 W 3 500 P 11/04-09 18 0 32 84 SW 3 3 3 1 NW35 187 W 3 537 P 11/04-10 18 0 37 70 SW 3 1 1025 W 3 3937 P 11/04-11 18 0 43 55 SW 5 1 1862 W 5 7336 P 11/04-12 18 0 46 51 SW 5 5 3 1 NW33 2699 W 5 10736 P 11/04-13 18 0 49 46 SW 5 1 3261 W 6 16193 P 11/04-14 18 0 50 44 W 5 1 3823 W 6 21650 P 11/04-15 18 0 50 45 W 6 6 3 1 NW33 4385 W 7 27106 P 11/04-16 18 0 50 46 W 6 1 3385 W 7 20311 P 11/04-17 18 0 47 52 W 6 1 2385 W 6 13516 P 11/04-18 9 0 43 60 W 6 6 3 1 NW35 1384 W 6 6722 P 11/04-19 9 0 39 71 W 6 1 1013 W 6 4925 P 11/04-20 9 0 39 69 W 6 1 641 W 6 3128 P 11/04-21 9 0 38 72 W 6 6 3 1 NW31 269 W 6 1332 P 11/04-22 9 0 38 72 W 6 1 251 W 6 1251 P 11/04-23 9 0 36 76 W 6 1 232 W 6 1170 P 11/05-00 9 0 36 78 W 6 6 3 1 NW25 214 W 6 1089 P 11/05-01 10 0 35 80 W 6 1 205 W 6 1002 P 11/05-02 10 0 35 80 W 5 1 197 W 6 914 P 11/05-03 10 0 34 81 W 5 5 3 1 NW23 188 W 5 827 P 11/05-04 10 0 34 82 W 5 1 182 W 5 806 P 11/05-05 10 0 34 83 SW 5 1 175 W 5 785 P 11/05-06 10 1 33 87 SW 5 5 3 1 NW24 168 SW 6 764 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...JON MYERS REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101102.GRIZZ.01/BOU