FNUS75 KGJT 012156
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH CARVER...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
356 PM MDT MON NOV 1 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON NOVEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION: HIGH PRESSURE...CENTERED OVER LAS VEGAS...AMPLIFIES
ON TUESDAY AND STRENGTHENS ON WEDNESDAY. WESTERN COLORADO...ON THE
EAST SIDE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE AXIS...WILL HAVE NORTHWEST WINDS
ALOFT. EXPECT A WARMING TREND OF 4 OR 5 DEGREES PER DAY. THIS
SURFACE HEATING WILL ALLOW FOR MIXING UP TO ABOUT 3000 FEET BOTH
AFTERNOONS. WINDS WITHIN THIS MIXED LAYER WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO
YIELD FAIR SMOKE DISPERSAL ON TUESDAY. BUT WEAKER WINDS ON
WEDNESDAY WILL KEEP THE BURN SITE IN THE POOR CATEGORY.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-60 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR EXCEPT FAIR FROM 1300-1700 HOURS.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT 1000 HOURS...RISING TO 3000 FT
                    AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (MAX 8000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY AGAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-64 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING....
                    UPVALLEY/SOUTHWEST 1-5 MPH AFTER NOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (MAX OF 15000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...BRAD PIETRUSZKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101102.SOUTH.02/GJT