FNUS75 KRIW 011541
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP CREEK RX...BLM CAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
941 AM MDT MON NOV 1 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON NOVEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
BREEZY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT AS THE LOCAL PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING WEAK...DRY COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTH. AFTER THE FRONT
DISSIPATES ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
OVER THE AREA...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS FOR THE
REST OF THE WEEK.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BERC

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-45 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING WEST 10 TO 11
                    MPH BY 2 PM...THEN BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH AFTER 7 PM.
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (34300-64300 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-34.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-88 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    DECREASING TO 15 MPH BY 6 AM.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5300-37600 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-54.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-39 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (23500-50700 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BERC
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG SHORT
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101102.SHEEP.01/RIW