FNUS75 KRIW 021410
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP CREEK RX...BLM CAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
810 AM MDT TUE NOV 2 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON NOVEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL
KEEP BREEZY WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY WIND OVER THE BURN AREA TODAY.
THE WIND WILL DIE DOWN AS A WEAK...DRY COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM
THE NORTH THIS EVENING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE
WEATHER FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS WITH
LIGHT WIND THOUGH FRIDAY.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BERC

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-57.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    22 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH AFTER 7 PM.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18-24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO
                    3500-4500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (23500-50500 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-34.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-90 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH BY 3 AM.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    BY MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 3 AM.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000-30100 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-43 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AFTER NOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-4700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    12 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (14100-35800 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BERC
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG SHORT
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101102.SHEEP.02/RIW