FNUS75 KRIW 021949
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP CRK RX...BLM CAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
149 PM MDT TUE NOV 2 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1345 MDT ON NOVEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
PERIODICALLY BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY AFTERNOON WIND WILL DECREASE AS A
WEAK...DRY COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE BURN AREA FROM
THE NORTH THIS EVENING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE
WEATHER FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS WITH
LIGHT WIND THOUGH FRIDAY.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BERC

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-35.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-90 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15
                    MPH BY 3 AM.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST BY MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 3 AM.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST LATE
                    IN THE NIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2900-30600 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-44 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHEAST AT 10-15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH AFTER NOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-4900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 12
                    TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (16100-39600 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BERC
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG SHORT
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101102.SHEEP.03/RIW