FNUS73 KEAX 031413 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 1...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 913 AM CDT WED NOV 3 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON NOVEMBER 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE PRESCRIBED BURN LOCATION...WILL BRING NORTHWESTERLY WINDS THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 5 TO 10 MPH RANGE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS BEFORE INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES SOUTHWARD OUT OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS. HOWEVER...SLIGHTLY HIGHER MOISTURE VALUES WILL FOLLOW THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WHICH SHOULD HELP MITIGATE DANGEROUSLY LOW RH VALUES. NEVERTHELESS...RH READINGS ARE EXPECTED TO DIP INTO THE UPPER 20 PERCENT RANGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATES CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S. COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...OFFSETTING ANY FIRE DANGER POTENTIAL DESPITE GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 15 TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 36 MPH. TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........7 7 7 6 5 3 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............59 63 64 65 64 61 RH..............41 35 32 29 29 30 20 FT WIND DIR..N N NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..16 17 17 17 16 15 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 20 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 6 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35. MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 10 12 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............52 49 47 45 44 43 42 42 41 40 40 39 RH..............41 46 48 51 52 54 55 58 61 65 66 66 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..14 12 10 9 10 12 14 14 14 14 14 13 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 10 15 20 20 20 20 20 15 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 4 4 4 5 5 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 21 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700-4900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH 25 TO 28 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........5 6 6 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 12 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............39 38 40 44 47 50 52 53 54 54 52 48 RH..............66 67 61 54 48 43 40 37 36 34 37 42 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..12 15 16 17 17 18 18 20 21 21 18 16 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 25 25 25 30 30 30 30 30 25 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...DEROCHE REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOURNEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101103.UNIT1.01/EAX