FNUS75 KRIW 031504 CCA
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP CREEK RX...BLM CAD...CORRECTED FOR THURSDAYS WINDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
826 AM MDT WED NOV 3 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0750 MDT ON NOVEMBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ROCKIES WILL RESULT IN
UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY.  WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT WITH SMOKE DISPERSAL IN THE POOR TO FAIR
CATEGORIES TODAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LIPSON

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50 AT 6550 FEET AND 46 AT 7740 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT AT 6550 FEET AND 41 PERCENT AT 7740 FEET.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5-9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT 3 TO 6 MPH
                    BY 1200.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (15000-36100 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-33.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-83 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 8 MPH BY 2200...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    8 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    17 TO 18 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5200-26000 KNOT-FT).

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58 AT 6550 FEET AND 55 AT 7740 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT AT 6550 FEET AND 32 PERCENT AT 7740 FEET.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BY
                    0900 THEN INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH FROM THE
                    SOUTHWEST BY 10 TO 15 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 16 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 15 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (14400-33600 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...LIPSON
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG SHORT
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101103.SHEEP.01/RIW