FNUS71 KLWX 041046 FWSLWX SPOT FORECAST FOR LOKEY HOLLOW...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 646 AM EDT THU NOV 4 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0643 EDT ON NOVEMBER 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE CHESAPEAKE BAY TODAY. THIS TROUGH...COMBINED WITH A STRONG UPPER TROUGH OVER THE MIDWEST WILL CONTINUE BRING RAIN TO THE SHENANDOAH VALLEY TODAY AND SOME SHOWERS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. ENOUGH COLD AIR WILL FILTER IN FROM THE NORTHWEST BY TONIGHT FOR PRECIPITATION TO CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS IN THE HIGH ELEVATIONS ALONG AND WEST OF THE ALLEGHENY FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE REGION SATURDAY THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MIN HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. CWR.................100 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 80 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 2 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 7 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 97 WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............44 44 45 46 47 46 RH..............93 93 96 100 96 100 20 FT WIND......N 2 N 3 N 5 N 5 N 4 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..N 2 N 2 N 4 N 4 N 3 N 2 EYE LEVEL WIND..5 5 10 10 5 5 CWR.............100 100 100 100 100 80 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. CWR.................60 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 50 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........88 88 88 94 94 94 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............45 43 42 40 38 38 RH..............96 96 93 92 96 92 20 FT WIND......N 2 N 2 NW 3 NW 5 NW 5 NW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..N 1 N 1 NW 2 NW 4 NW 4 NW 3 EYE LEVEL WIND..5 10 10 10 10 5 CWR.............60 60 60 50 50 50 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................30 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5400-6200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........88 84 79 75 67 65 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............37 38 42 45 46 46 RH..............92 89 79 70 63 60 20 FT WIND......NW 3 NW 4 NW 5 NW 7 W 8 W 8 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 15 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 2 NW 3 NW 4 NW 5 W 6 W 6 EYE LEVEL WIND..5 10 10 15 15 15 CWR.............30 30 20 20 20 20 $$ FORECASTER...JACKSON REQUESTED BY...JOE EMSWILER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20101104.LOKEY.01/LWX