FNUS73 KPAH 042034 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR OAKWOOD BOTTOMS UNIT 3 3A 4...USFS SHAWNEE NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 334 PM CDT THU NOV 4 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1525 CDT ON NOVEMBER 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LOOK FOR WINDS TO REMAIN NORTHWEST...BETWEEN 320 AND 350 DEGREES IN DIRECTION THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY EVENING...BEFORE BECOMING MORE WESTERLY WITH TIME BY LATE FRIDAY EVENING. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL REMAIN SUSTAINED AT OR ABOVE 15 MPH THROUGH 7 PM CDT...THE FALL INTO THE 10 TO 15 MPH RANGE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT...THE RISE BACK UP ABOVE 15 MPH BETWEEN 8 AM AND 4 PM ON FRIDAY. LOCAL WIND GUSTS MAY STILL REMAIN AT OR ABOVE 20 TO 25 MPH THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...THEN DROP OFF SHARPLY OVERNIGHT. THE WINDS WILL PICK UP AGAIN AFTER DAYBREAK FRIDAY AND REMAIN GUSTY IN EXCESS OF 15 MPH THROUGH 5 PM FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE PRESCRIBED BURN AREA WILL REMAIN ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF A SCATTERED BAND OF SHOWERS THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE ASSOCIATED THE CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL KEEP MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AT OR ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS NORMALLY ASSOCIATED WITH RED FLAG CONDITIONS. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 57. RH..................38 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......9900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 9900-11200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 31 TO 36 MPH. TIME (CDT) 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............56 54 50 RH..............38 42 47 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..12 11 10 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...9.9 11 11 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.31 33 36 CWR.............0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34. RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10200-11200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 31 TO 38 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............47 42 40 38 37 35 RH..............54 64 70 71 76 77 20 FT WIND......NW 8 NW 8 NW 7 NW 7 NW 7 NW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....11200 8500 4200 400 BLW100 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 37 N 38 N 36 N 33 N 31 N 31 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 48. RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-5400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5200-6800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 23 TO 32 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 15 TO 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............35 40 45 47 RH..............73 56 44 41 20 FT WIND......NW 7G10 N 10G20 NW 10G20 NW 8G15 MIX HGT (FT)....500 2400 6500 5900 TRANSPORT WIND..N 32 N 26 N 22 NW 22 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...SMITH REQUESTED BY...SCOTT CRIST TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101104.OAKWO.03/PAH