FNUS75 KRIW 041427
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP CREEK RX...BLM CAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
827 AM MDT THU NOV 4 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 MDT ON NOVEMBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ROCKIES WILL RESULT IN
UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY.  WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT WITH SMOKE DISPERSAL IN THE POOR TO FAIR
CATEGORIES THROUGH FRIDAY. WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND WINDS WILL INCREASE.  A STORM SYSTEM COULD AFFECT THE AREA
MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL POSSIBLE ON CASPER MOUNTAIN...
WITH EVEN SOME SNOWFALL POSSIBLE IN THE ADJACENT LOWER ELEVATIONS.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LIPSON

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54 AT 6550 FEET AND 50 AT 7740 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT AT 6550 FEET AND 28 PERCENT AT 7740 FEET.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH BY 1100. SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO
                    10 TO 15 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS TO 20 MPH BY 1300.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 17 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (13400-37300 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-36.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-81 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH AND GUSTY.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5500-28700 KNOT-FT).

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62 AT 6550 FEET AND 57 AT 7740 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT AT 6550 FEET AND 32 PERCENT AT 7740 FEET.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 28 MPH AFTER 1200.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (24500-32600 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND
11 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...LIPSON
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG SHORT
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101104.SHEEP.01/RIW