FNUS75 KBOU 051314 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SKY ISLAND...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 714 AM MDT FRI NOV 5 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A RATHER LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE DESERT SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WILL KEEP DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM WITH LOW HUMIDITY READINGS TODAY. ENOUGH HEATING IS EXPECTED TO BRING A PERIOD OF GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION TO THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THEN QUICKLY BECOMING POOR SHORTLY BEFORE DUSK. ON SATURDAY...SMOKE DISPERSION WILL LIKELY BE LIMITED BY LIGHT WINDS ALOFT...ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM ENOUGH TO ALLOW GOOD LOFTING OF THE PLUME DURING THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS FROM TIME TO TIME FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....63. MIN HUMIDITY........14%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 4-7 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1300...THEN WEST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING TO 8400-9400 FT AGL BY 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR BY 1800. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....28. MAX HUMIDITY........57%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WEST 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....66. MIN HUMIDITY........13%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...INCREASING TO 6000-7000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. POSSIBLE 2 HOUR PERIOD OF GOOD FROM 1400-1600. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SKY ISLAND. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/05-07 4 0 27 61 W 5 1 105 W 6 494 P 11/05-08 4 0 27 62 W 3 1 107 W 5 431 P 11/05-09 4 0 27 65 W 3 8 2 1 N28 109 W 3 368 P 11/05-10 4 0 34 49 W 3 1 992 W 6 8021 P 11/05-11 4 0 42 36 W 3 1 1875 NW 8 15674 P 11/05-12 3 0 45 31 W 3 8 2 1 N20 2758 NW 9 23328 P 11/05-13 3 0 52 23 W 3 1 5259 NW 10 50450 F 11/05-14 3 0 56 18 W 5 1 7761 NW 12 77573 G 11/05-15 3 0 61 15 W 5 10 2 1 NW17 10262 NW 12 104696 V 11/05-16 3 0 63 14 W 3 1 9257 NW 12 93640 G 11/05-17 3 0 62 16 W 3 1 8252 NW 12 82585 G 11/05-18 4 0 59 19 W 2 2 2 1 NW29 7247 NW 10 59529 F 11/05-19 4 0 50 27 W 2 1 4929 NW 9 39261 P 11/05-20 4 0 45 33 W 3 1 2611 W 8 24993 P 11/05-21 4 0 43 36 W 5 5 3 1 N36 293 W 7 1725 P 11/05-22 4 0 42 37 W 5 1 261 W 7 1499 P 11/05-23 4 0 39 40 W 5 1 229 W 6 1273 P 11/06-00 3 0 39 40 W 5 5 3 1 N33 197 W 6 1047 P 11/06-01 3 0 36 44 W 5 1 174 W 6 939 P 11/06-02 3 0 34 47 W 6 1 150 W 7 830 P 11/06-03 3 0 33 49 W 6 6 4 1 N26 126 W 7 722 P 11/06-04 3 0 32 51 W 7 1 119 W 7 756 P 11/06-05 3 0 31 53 W 7 1 112 W 8 790 P 11/06-06 4 0 30 56 W 8 13 5 1 N22 104 W 9 825 P 11/06-07 4 0 30 57 W 8 1 151 W 9 1231 P 11/06-08 4 0 33 51 W 8 1 197 W 9 1637 P 11/06-09 4 0 41 38 W 8 13 5 1 N18 243 W 9 2043 P 11/06-10 4 0 49 27 W 8 1 1869 NW 10 16873 P 11/06-11 4 0 56 20 W 9 1 3496 NW 10 31703 P 11/06-12 4 0 60 17 NW 9 14 5 1 NW10 5123 NW 10 46533 F 11/06-13 4 0 62 15 NW 9 1 6139 NW 10 51709 F 11/06-14 4 0 64 14 NW 9 1 7156 NW 9 56886 F 11/06-15 4 0 65 13 NW 9 14 5 1 W15 8173 W 9 62063 G 11/06-16 4 0 64 13 NW 8 1 6760 W 8 48586 F 11/06-17 4 0 61 14 NW 7 1 5347 NW 7 35109 P 11/06-18 12 0 57 17 NW 6 6 5 1 W20 3934 NW 6 21632 P 11/06-19 12 0 51 21 NW 6 1 2717 NW 7 14954 P 11/06-20 12 0 47 25 NW 6 1 1500 NW 7 8276 P 11/06-21 12 0 45 27 W 6 6 5 1 W21 282 W 7 1597 P 11/06-22 12 0 43 31 W 6 1 248 W 7 1387 P 11/06-23 12 0 41 35 W 6 1 215 W 6 1177 P 11/07-00 20 0 40 38 W 6 6 5 1 SW25 181 W 6 967 P 11/07-01 20 0 39 42 W 6 1 166 W 6 886 P 11/07-02 20 0 38 45 W 6 1 150 W 6 804 P 11/07-03 20 0 37 49 W 6 6 5 1 SW26 135 W 6 723 P 11/07-04 20 0 36 53 W 6 1 127 W 6 689 P 11/07-05 20 0 35 57 W 6 1 120 W 6 655 P 11/07-06 27 3 34 61 W 6 6 5 1 W20 112 W 7 620 P 11/07-07 27 3 34 63 W 6 1 145 W 6 737 P 11/07-08 27 3 36 59 W 5 1 178 W 6 855 P 11/07-09 27 3 42 48 W 5 5 5 1 SW14 211 W 6 972 P 11/07-10 27 3 48 38 W 5 1 1275 W 7 10169 P 11/07-11 27 3 53 30 SW 6 1 2339 SW 8 19367 P 11/07-12 27 3 56 26 SW 7 7 5 1 SW17 3403 SW 9 28565 P 11/07-13 26 3 58 24 SW 8 1 4089 SW 10 40230 F 11/07-14 26 3 58 22 SW 8 1 4774 SW 13 51894 F 11/07-15 25 3 59 20 S 9 14 5 1 SW30 5459 SW 14 63558 G 11/07-16 25 3 58 19 S 9 1 3752 SW 13 43584 F 11/07-17 24 3 56 20 S 9 1 2045 SW 13 23610 P 11/07-18 24 4 51 23 S 9 14 3 1 SW43 338 S 13 3635 P 11/07-19 22 4 45 29 SW 9 1 274 SW 12 2861 P 11/07-20 20 4 41 34 SW 8 1 210 SW 12 2088 P 11/07-21 18 4 39 38 SW 8 8 2 1 SW58 147 SW 10 1314 P 11/07-22 15 4 37 43 W 9 1 152 W 12 1490 P 11/07-23 13 4 35 47 W 9 1 157 W 13 1666 P 11/08-00 11 4 34 51 W 10 16 2 1 SW38 162 W 13 1843 P 11/08-01 12 4 33 55 W 10 1 161 W 13 1773 P 11/08-02 13 4 32 58 W 9 1 160 W 13 1703 P 11/08-03 15 4 31 62 W 9 14 3 1 W37 159 W 12 1633 P 11/08-04 16 4 30 65 W 9 1 157 W 12 1643 P 11/08-05 17 4 29 68 W 9 1 155 W 13 1653 P 11/08-06 13 3 28 73 W 10 16 5 1 W43 153 W 13 1663 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...DAVE HOWARD REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101105.SKYIS.02/BOU