FNUS73 KPAH 071400 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR ASHBY EAST...SHAWNEE NATIONAL FOREST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 800 AM CST SUN NOV 7 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0815 CST ON NOVEMBER 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... INCREASED FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA TODAY...AND ALLOW SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE FOUR STATE AREA. SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS ARE FORECAST OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...ESPECIALLY MONDAY AFTERNOON...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF THE MARK TWAIN AND SHAWNEE NATIONAL FORESTS. HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO GRADUALLY RISE AFTER MONDAY...WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY THUNDERSTORMS MID TO LATE WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 61. RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 23 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............40 44 48 52 56 58 59 59 58 54 RH..............48 43 37 32 27 26 24 24 26 30 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 10 20 20 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.4 1.7 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S TRANSP WIND SPD.0 0 5 10 15 17 17 16 10 5 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36. RH..................MAX 70 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............50 45 43 41 41 39 RH..............36 43 50 58 61 67 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 100 200 200 100 100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68. RH..................MIN 24 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 12 TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............38 50 63 66 RH..............70 47 29 25 20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 6G10 SW 7G20 S 7G20 MIX HGT (FT)....100 300 1900 2400 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 0 SW 24 SW 22 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...JON TEUTRINE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101107.ASHBY.01/PAH