FNUS75 KBOU 081400 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FETTERS RANCH RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 650 AM MST MON NOV 8 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS ARE ON TAP FOR ONE MORE DAY WITH A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE FRONT RANGE. THIS RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE FRONT RANGE BY THIS EVENING AS A MUCH STRONGER LOWER PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OVER WESTERN COLORADO. LIGHT SURFACE DRAINAGE WINDS...RELATIVELY LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS AND A WEAK SUBSIDENCE INVERSION UP AROUND 7 THOUSAND FEET AGL WILL CREATE POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL CONDITIONS THIS MORNING. AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE MID AND UPPER 60S BY LATE THIS MORNING SMOKE DISPERSAL CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AS SURFACE WINDS GRADUALLY TURN TO A SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION FLOWING DOWN CHERRY CREEK. MOUNTAIN WAVE CLOUDS WILL PASS OVER THE BURN AREA FROM TIME TO TIME TODAY WHICH MAY HAMPER SMOKE DISPERSAL. BY TONIGHT LIGHT DRAINAGE WINDS AND THE FORMATION OF A MODERATE NIGHTTIME INVERSION WILL QUICKLY DEGRADE SMOKE DISPERSAL CONDITIONS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1700...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-71. MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6-10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7-12 MPH AFTER 1100. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9-18 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2400-3400 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 5800-6800 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 8400 FT AGL UNTIL 1500...THEN 5600 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER AFTER 0500. MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-42. MAX HUMIDITY........44-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1100...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW UNTIL 1700...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....47. MIN HUMIDITY........42%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN NORTHWEST 10-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 3600-4600 FT AGL AFTER 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300. FAIR AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .VETERANS DAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FETTERS RANCH RX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/08-06 18 0 44 36 S 10 1 443 SW 9 3928 P 11/08-07 18 0 46 34 S 10 1 630 SW 10 5940 P 11/08-08 29 0 51 28 S 9 14 3 1 W28 817 SW 12 7952 P 11/08-09 29 0 58 21 S 7 1 2238 SW 13 28038 P 11/08-10 29 0 63 17 SW 6 1 3659 SW 14 48124 F 11/08-11 25 0 66 15 SW 5 5 3 1 SW41 5080 SW 15 68210 G 11/08-12 25 0 68 15 SW 6 1 6163 SW 17 95030 G 11/08-13 25 0 69 15 SW 7 1 7246 SW 18 121850 V 11/08-14 31 0 70 15 S 9 14 4 1 W49 8329 SW 21 148669 V 11/08-15 31 0 69 16 S 10 1 5642 SW 17 99980 G 11/08-16 31 0 66 18 S 10 1 2955 SW 14 51290 F 11/08-17 61 0 62 22 S 10 16 4 1 SW38 268 SW 12 2600 P 11/08-18 61 0 57 26 S 10 1 239 SW 12 2453 P 11/08-19 61 0 53 30 S 12 1 211 SW 13 2305 P 11/08-20 64 0 51 32 S 12 17 4 1 SW36 182 SW 14 2158 P 11/08-21 64 0 49 35 S 13 1 167 SW 13 1828 P 11/08-22 64 0 48 38 S 14 1 173 SW 13 1893 P 11/08-23 67 0 47 40 S 14 21 2 1 SW43 178 SW 13 1958 P 11/09-00 67 0 46 42 SW 14 1 187 SW 13 1989 P 11/09-01 67 0 45 43 SW 13 1 195 SW 12 2019 P 11/09-02 65 0 44 44 SW 12 17 3 1 SW47 203 SW 12 2049 P 11/09-03 65 0 43 45 SW 10 1 196 SW 10 1832 P 11/09-04 65 0 43 47 SW 9 1 188 SW 10 1616 P 11/09-05 65 10 42 49 SW 8 8 2 1 SW35 332 SW 9 2533 P 11/09-06 65 10 42 49 SW 6 1 475 SW 8 2772 P 11/09-07 65 10 41 50 SW 5 1 618 W 6 3010 P 11/09-08 65 10 42 48 SW 3 3 2 1 S26 761 W 5 3249 P 11/09-09 73 10 44 46 W 3 1 871 W 6 4176 P 11/09-10 74 10 45 45 NW 5 1 980 NW 6 5103 P 11/09-11 75 53 46 45 NW 6 6 2 1 S25 1089 NW 7 6029 P 11/09-12 75 53 47 44 NW 9 1 2314 NW 9 24924 P 11/09-13 76 53 47 43 NW 13 1 3540 NW 13 43818 F 11/09-14 85 53 47 42 NW 15 23 3 1 S16 4765 NW 15 62712 G 11/09-15 85 53 46 42 NW 15 1 4315 NW 16 59051 F 11/09-16 85 53 45 44 NW 14 1 3865 NW 16 55390 F 11/09-17 85 17 41 49 NW 13 20 2 1 SW16 3415 NW 17 51729 F 11/09-18 85 17 37 55 NW 12 1 2361 NW 15 35154 P 11/09-19 82 17 34 59 NW 10 1 1307 NW 12 18579 P 11/09-20 77 17 33 60 NW 8 8 2 1 SW26 253 NW 9 2004 P 11/09-21 53 17 32 61 NW 6 1 243 NW 7 1512 P 11/09-22 47 17 31 60 W 3 1 234 W 5 1019 P 11/09-23 41 0 30 61 SW 2 2 2 1 W26 224 W 2 527 P 11/10-00 39 0 29 64 SW 3 1 224 SW 5 795 P 11/10-01 37 0 29 64 S 5 1 224 S 6 1063 P 11/10-02 36 0 28 66 S 7 7 2 1 W31 224 S 7 1331 P 11/10-03 34 0 27 69 S 8 1 211 S 7 1309 P 11/10-04 32 0 26 71 S 8 1 198 S 8 1287 P 11/10-05 30 3 26 73 S 8 8 2 1 W38 185 S 8 1265 P 11/10-06 34 3 25 74 S 8 1 244 S 7 1475 P 11/10-07 39 3 26 71 S 7 1 304 S 7 1685 P 11/10-08 43 3 30 59 S 6 6 2 1 W37 364 SW 6 1896 P 11/10-09 47 3 35 48 S 5 1 1646 SW 6 6380 P 11/10-10 52 3 39 40 SE 3 1 2928 SW 5 10864 P 11/10-11 56 3 42 37 SE 2 2 3 1 W36 4209 S 5 15348 P 11/10-12 58 3 43 36 SE 2 1 4297 S 3 12951 P 11/10-13 61 3 44 36 E 2 1 4385 SE 2 10553 P 11/10-14 63 3 44 37 E 2 2 3 1 W38 4473 SE 2 8156 P 11/10-15 65 3 44 39 NE 3 1 3064 E 3 5928 P 11/10-16 68 3 43 43 N 5 1 1656 NE 6 3700 P 11/10-17 70 30 40 50 N 7 7 3 1 SW24 247 N 7 1471 P 11/10-18 71 30 37 57 N 8 1 221 N 8 1534 P 11/10-19 72 30 34 63 N 10 1 194 N 10 1596 P 11/10-20 73 30 32 68 NW 12 17 2 1 SW20 168 N 12 1658 P 11/10-21 73 30 31 70 NW 13 1 302 N 13 3731 P 11/10-22 74 30 31 72 NW 14 1 435 NW 15 5804 P 11/10-23 75 30 30 74 NW 14 21 2 1 SW17 569 NW 16 7877 P 11/11-00 77 30 29 78 NW 13 1 565 N 15 7320 P 11/11-01 79 30 28 80 N 12 1 560 N 14 6763 P 11/11-02 81 30 28 83 N 10 16 2 1 SW 9 556 N 13 6206 P 11/11-03 82 30 27 89 N 9 1 464 N 13 5077 P 11/11-04 84 30 26 94 N 9 1 373 N 12 3948 P 11/11-05 90 50 26 100 N 9 14 2 1 N 7 281 N 12 2818 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BAKER WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...DAVID REID REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101108.FETTE.01/BOU