FNUS71 KCTP 090035
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR IMPACT AREA EAST...PA NATIONAL GUARD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
735 PM EST MON NOV 8 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1924 EST ON NOVEMBER 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 6 TO 8
HOURS. THEY MAY BACK SLIGHTLY MORE TO THE WEST...BUT WILL BE
FAIRLY CONSISTENT FROM THE NW/320 DEGS ALL NIGHT.
GUSTS WILL BE 20 TO 25 MPH.
LATER TONIGHT...THEY WILL DIMINISH SLIGHTLY.

SOME VERY LIGHT RAIN/DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS EVENING -
THROUGH 10 PM - BUT IT WILL NOT BE SIGNIFICANT AT ALL.

WINDS WILL GO UP SLIGHTLY DURING THE MORNING HOURS ON
TUESDAY...BUT THE GUSTS WILL BE LIGHTER - AT ONLY 12 TO 16 MPH.
THEY WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN IN
                    THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 28 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 16 TO
                    18 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............55     60     89     74     76     73
WEATHER COV.........       S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   RAIN   RAIN   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................48     44     43     40     38     36
RH..................48     54     56     63     69     75
20 FT WIND..........NW 12  NW 14  NW 13  NW 10  NW 8   NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15            10
TRANSPORT WIND......NW 28  NW 24  NW 22  NW 18  NW 16  N 16
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0      20     20     10     10     10
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX........4      5      2      2      2      2

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 17 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............82     82     75     66     65     48
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................37     40     43     47     50     49
RH..................73     71     69     64     59     64
20 FT WIND..........NW 5   NW 6   NW 9   NW 10  NW 10  NW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....       10     15     15     15     10
TRANSPORT WIND......N 16   N 16   N 17   N 17   N 16   N 16
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10     10     0      0      0      0
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX........2      2      2      2      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/DANGELO
REQUESTED BY...SHANNON HENRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20101108.IMPAC.01/CTP