FNUS75 KGJT 072144
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DOLORES RIVER PROJECT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
244 PM MST SUN NOV 7 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON NOVEMBER 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE NEXT STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE
REGION ON MONDAY. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY HOW QUICKLY THE
STRONG SOUTHWEST GRADIENT WINDS WILL MIX DOWN INTO THE VALLEY. BEST
FORECAST IS FOR EARLY AFTERNOON MIXING WINDS. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE
IN THE AFTERNOON...BUT SHOWERS WILL START LATE AFTERNOON OR MORE
LIKELY OVERNIGHT. THE COLD FRONT WILL PASS AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH
SHOWERS LIKELY INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON BUT COLD ADVECTION WILL PRODUCE MIXING WEST-NORTHWEST
AFTERNOON WINDS.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING AND THICKENING CLOUDS. ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS POSSIBLE LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT UPVALLEY WINDS 2-6 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    WINDS 3-8 MPH INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH LATE
                    AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......500 AT 1100 INCREASING TO 1000+ IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL AT 1100 INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 MPH AT 1100 INCREASING TO 25 MPH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
                    AFTER 0200 HOURS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 3-8 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......1000+ IN SHOWERS (BY DEFINITION).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL EXCEPT HIGHER IN SHOWERS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 18 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5-15 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......1000+.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...MOAB DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101108.DOLOR.01/GJT