FNUS75 KGJT 072257
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAGLES NEST PILES...VAIL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
357 PM MST SUN NOV 7 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON NOVEMBER 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE BURN SITE 6 PM MST MONDAY
THROUGH 6 PM MST TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...THE NEXT STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE
REGION ON MONDAY WITH THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PASSING LATE
MONDAY NIGHT. STRONG SOUTHWEST GRADIENT WINDS WILL MIX DOWN BY
MONDAY AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL THICKEN AND LOWER MOISTURE WILL
INCREASE IN THE AFTERNOON...BUT SHOWERS WILL START MOST LIKELY
OVERNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY.
SHOWERS WILL START TO DIMINISH LATE TUESDAY BUT GOOD COLD
ADVECTION WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WEST-NORTHWEST AFTERNOON WINDS.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    POSSIBLE BY LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 2-5 MPH AT 0900 MST...SHIFTING TO
                    SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS 25-30 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD BY THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 33 MPH INCREASING TO 43 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVIER SNOW
                    ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED TO THE WEST OF THE BURN
                    SITE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-28 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT IN SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 40 MPH DECREASING TO 25 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....23-28 F THAT MAY OCCUR IN THE MORNING.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...T TALBOT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101108.EAGLE.01/GJT