FNUS73 KLOT 081546 FWSLOT SPOT FORECAST FOR ADMIN SITE...USFS MIDEWIN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 946 AM CST MON NOV 8 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0935 CST ON NOVEMBER 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM WESTERN QUEBEC SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE GULF OF MEXICO...WHILE A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE REMAINS ACROSS THE WESTERN PLAINS. THIS TROUGH WILL CONSOLIDATE INTO AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WEDNESDAY... AND LIFT NORTH ACROSS CANADA WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL MAINTAIN SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY...ALONG WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND VERY WARM TEMPERATURES. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE UPPER 60S UNDER MAINLY SUNNY SKIES. DEWPOINTS MAY SLOWLY INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH RELATIVELY WEAK LOW LEVEL MIXING. AS A RESULT... MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE LOW...BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW HAS TO JUST HOW LOW THEY WILL DROP THIS AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 68. RH..................43 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 2000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO 2800 FT AGL MID AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /13900 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR /43000 KNOT-FT/. TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........10 10 10 10 9 8 7 7 7 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............52 57 61 64 66 67 67 64 60 RH..............43 38 33 31 28 27 27 30 34 20FT WIND DIR...200 200 200 200 200 190 190 180 180 20FT SPEED(MPH).5 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 5 20FT SPEED(KT)..4 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 4 20FT GUST(MPH)..7 9 12 14 15 15 14 13 12 20FT GUST(KT)...6 8 10 12 13 13 12 11 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.9 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.8 2.7 2.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.200 200 190 190 190 180 180 180 180 TRANSP WIND SPD.13 15 17 18 18 18 18 17 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VRATE KT-FT/10007 14 23 31 38 43 42 31 16 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41. RH..................MAX 77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0-2900 KNOT-FT). TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............57 55 53 51 49 47 46 45 44 43 42 41 RH..............38 41 45 49 53 56 59 62 66 69 72 77 20FT WIND DIR...170 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 170 170 170 170 20FT SPEED(MPH).5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 20FT SPEED(KT)..4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 20FT GUST(MPH)..9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 6 20FT GUST(KT)...8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 170 170 170 170 TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 15 15 14 13 12 12 12 12 10 9 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VRATE KT-FT/10003 0 1 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68. RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 3100-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2400 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 16 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1900-44700 KNOT-FT). TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............42 45 50 55 59 62 65 67 68 68 66 62 RH..............75 69 60 52 47 41 38 36 35 35 38 43 20FT WIND DIR...170 180 190 190 190 190 180 180 180 170 170 150 20FT SPEED(MPH).3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20FT SPEED(KT)..3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 20FT GUST(MPH)..6 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 9 20FT GUST(KT)...5 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 8 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.2 2.0 2.6 3.1 3.4 3.2 2.4 1.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.170 180 180 190 190 180 180 180 180 170 160 150 TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 12 13 14 14 14 14 15 16 15 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VRATE KT-FT/10002 4 7 11 17 23 30 38 45 45 33 17 $$ FORECASTER...SULLIVAN REQUESTED BY...BARRY KLECKLER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101108.ADMIN.01/LOT