FNUS73 KUNR 081626
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR FRENCH CREEK RX  2...SDWFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
926 AM MST MON NOV 8 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON NOVEMBER 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS HIGH CLOUDS
CROSS THE AREA. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOWER 70S
WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DROPPING TO AROUND 20 PERCENT.

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY BRINGING
UNSETTLED WEATHER AND MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES. RAIN SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT OR TUESDAY MORNING...CHANGING OVER TO SNOW
SHOWERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
AREA LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY MORNING WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST
WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING WILL WARM TO THE MAX TEMPERATURE...THEN DROP THROUGHOUT
THE DAY AS THE FRONT PASSES WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING THE 30S IN
THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 73.
RH..................24 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 TO 2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 13
                    TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 14
                    TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE DAY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 48.
RH..................MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO
                    22 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................18 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 TO 1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

$$
FORECASTER...CALDERON
REQUESTED BY...S ESSER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101108.FRENC.02/UNR