FNUS73 KFGF 091342 FWSFGF SPOT FORECAST FOR LIGHTNING LAKE...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 742 AM CST TUE NOV 9 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CST ON NOVEMBER 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... EXPECT A VERY WARM DAY WITH A MIX OF SUNSHINE AND HIGH CIRRUS CLOUDS. THE MIXING HEIGHT FORECAST IS TRICKY...AND IT COULD AFFECT THE WIND AND RH OUTCOME. THERE SHOULD BE A SHALLOW MIXING LAYER THAT WILL DEVELOP AROUND NOON AND PEAK AT ABOUT 3 PM. THE LAYER WILL HELP TO MIX DOWN HIGHER WINDS AND DRIER AIR ALOFT. HOWEVER...IF THE MIXING HEIGHT IS ANY HIGHER THAN THE CURRENT FORECAST...THEN IT COULD RESULT IN GREATER WIND GUSTS AND LOWER RH. FOR NOW...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 15 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH WIND GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH. THE RH SHOULD REACH 50 PERCENT...BUT COULD BE LOWER DEPENDING ON WHAT WAS MENTIONED EARLIER. IT WOULD NOT HURT TO CHECK IN AROUND NOON TO SEE HOW THE SITUATION IS EVOLVING IF THE BURN WILL BE SENSITIVE TO THE WINDS AND RH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66. MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 28 MPH. TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........22 24 26 28 29 30 32 33 35 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............45 49 55 59 61 63 63 61 59 RH..............77 73 64 59 58 55 53 57 65 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 12 13 14 15 13 12 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 20 20 20 25 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47. MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 23 TO 28 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........38 48 56 63 67 69 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............57 55 53 51 49 46 RH..............69 73 79 83 88 95 20 FT WIND......SE 11 SE 11 SE 12 SE 11 SE 10 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 15 15 15 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57. MIN HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........72 84 93 90 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............44 48 54 53 RH..............99 96 86 90 20 FT WIND......SE 9G15 SE 9G15 S 8G15 S 6G10 $$ FORECASTER...GROCHOCINSKI REQUESTED BY...TROY BOSCHEE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101109.LIGHT.01/FGF